|

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Tests confluence support zone near 96.50, nine-day EMA

  • AUD/JPY may find its primary resistance at the eight-month high of 97.43.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index is positioned above the 50 mark, indicating a bullish bias.
  • The initial support zone appears at the ascending channel’s lower boundary around 96.60, followed by the nine-day EMA at 96.36.

AUD/JPY halts its winning streak that began on August 21, trading around 96.70 during the early European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the currency cross is positioned within the ascending channel pattern, suggesting a prevailing bullish bias.

The AUD/JPY cross remains above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating short-term price momentum is stronger. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned above the 50 mark, indicating bullish market sentiment.

On the upside, the AUD/JPY cross may target the eight-month high at 97.43, which was recorded on July 15. A successful break above this level would support the currency cross to explore the area around the upper boundary of the ascending channel at 97.90, followed by the psychological level of 98.00.

The AUD/JPY cross is testing its immediate support at the ascending channel’s lower boundary around 96.60, followed by the nine-day EMA at 96.36. A break below this confluence support zone would weaken the short-term price momentum and put downward pressure to test the 50-day EMA at 95.72.

Further declines would lead the AUD/JPY cross to navigate the region around the two-month low of 94.40, recorded on August 20, followed by the three-month low of 93.97, which was recorded on July 1.

AUD/JPY: Daily Chart

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the weakest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.12%0.18%0.18%0.15%0.28%0.09%0.16%
EUR-0.12%0.06%0.02%0.03%0.21%-0.03%-0.01%
GBP-0.18%-0.06%0.04%-0.04%0.13%-0.08%-0.08%
JPY-0.18%-0.02%-0.04%-0.01%0.05%-0.02%0.00%
CAD-0.15%-0.03%0.04%0.00%0.09%-0.03%-0.04%
AUD-0.28%-0.21%-0.13%-0.05%-0.09%-0.23%-0.20%
NZD-0.09%0.03%0.08%0.02%0.03%0.23%0.06%
CHF-0.16%0.00%0.08%-0.01%0.04%0.20%-0.06%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses and returns to the 1.1750 area

The US Dollar resumed its decline in the American afternoon, helping EUR/USD trim early losses. The pair trades around 1.1750 as market participants gear up for the European Central Bank monetary policy decision and the United States Consumer Price Index.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3400 after nearing 1.3300

The GBP/USD changed course after dipping with UK inflation data, and trades near the 1.3400 mark, as investors expect the Bank of England to deliver a 25 basis points interest rate cut after the two-day meeting on Thursday.

Gold maintains its positive momentum, trades around $4,330

The XAU/USD pair gained on a deteriorated market mood, trading near its weekly highs near $4,340. The bright metal advances with caution as market players await first-tier events in Europe and hte United States.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.