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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles at 100.00, retreats but uptrend stays intact

  • AUD/JPY nears 100.00 after strong Australian job data.
  • Above Ichimoku Cloud, moving averages hint bullish trend.
  • Resistance at 100.17, 101.00, with 102.84, 2014’s swing high as next target.
  • Correction might pull to 99.05 and retreat deeper to 98.53, but bullish sentiment prevails.

The AUD/JPY is virtually unchanged on Thursday in late trading during the North American session. At the time of writing, the pair is 99.62 shy of the 100.00 figure after hitting a ten-year high of 100.17 on positive Aussie jobs data.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook.

The AUD/JPY daily chart suggests the cross is upward biased, though today’s price action indicates neither buyers nor sellers are gaining the battle. The pair surged past the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), signaling a strong uptrend, reinforced by the price exchanging hands above both the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen levels.

The slope of the Senkou Span A aims higher, indicating that further upside is seen. The 100.00 figure is the key resistance level. Once cleared, the next stop would be 100.17 and the 101.00 figure. Up next would be the 2014 high at 102.84.

Nevertheless, due to an overextended market move, the potential for a mean reversion move increases. Even though a pullback to the February 23 swing high at 99.05 isn’t out of cards, the pullback could be capitalized by bulls, as the rally is set to continue. However, a deeper pullback below that level could expose the Tenkan and Kijun-sen levels at 98.53.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price99.63
Today Daily Change0.01
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open99.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA2098.04
Daily SMA5097.58
Daily SMA10097.22
Daily SMA20096.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High99.66
Previous Daily Low98.48
Previous Weekly High97.97
Previous Weekly Low96.9
Previous Monthly High99.06
Previous Monthly Low95.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%99.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%98.93
Daily Pivot Point S198.85
Daily Pivot Point S298.07
Daily Pivot Point S397.66
Daily Pivot Point R1100.03
Daily Pivot Point R2100.44
Daily Pivot Point R3101.22

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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