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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Recovery stalls and bears to step in around 89.00

  • On Wednesday, AUD/JPY seesaws around 89.20s, ahead of the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision.
  • AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bearish biased, and it might resume its downtrend soon.

The AUD/JPY snapped two days of consecutive losses on Monday and rebounded nearby last week’s lows of 88.62. The Australian Dollar (AUD) got bolstered by traders booking profits on Japanese Yen (JPY) longs (AUD/JPY shorts) as they get ready for the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision. The AUD/JPY is trading at 89.33 after hitting a daily low of 89.02 at the time of writing.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After forming a double bottom in early 2023, the AUD/JPY shifted its bias to downwards, as it could not crack the 200-day EMA decisively. Therefore, sellers leaned to it, and the AUD/JJPY commenced a fall of almost 3% toward last week’s lows, breaking below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 90.18.

Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC) give bearish signals, opening the door for further losses.

Although the AUD/JPY had trimmed some of last Friday’s losses due to the bias of the pair, it could be viewed as an opportunity for sellers to re-engage on shorts at a better price. Therefore, the AUD/JPY first support would be the 89.00 mark, followed by the last week’s low of 88.62, followed by the YTD low of 87.41.

AUD/JPY Key Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price89.36
Today Daily Change0.12
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open89.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA2089.85
Daily SMA5091.82
Daily SMA10093.22
Daily SMA20093.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High90.17
Previous Daily Low88.66
Previous Weekly High91.82
Previous Weekly Low88.66
Previous Monthly High93.81
Previous Monthly Low87.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%89.24
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%89.59
Daily Pivot Point S188.54
Daily Pivot Point S287.84
Daily Pivot Point S387.03
Daily Pivot Point R190.05
Daily Pivot Point R290.87
Daily Pivot Point R391.57

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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