|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Recovers from weekly losses, still bearish below 96.00

  • Despite printing daily gains, the AUD/JPY is set to finish the week down by more than 2%.
  • Daily chart suggests a neutral to downward bias for the pair, with potential upside risks if a daily close is within Ichimoku Cloud boundaries.
  • A daily close occurs below the top of the Kumo, the potential for further losses; with key support seen at 95.00, followed by a December 8 low of 94.17.
  • Upside resistance includes November 10 swing low-turned resistance at 95.85, ahead of the 96.00 figure, and the Kijun-Sen at 96.14.

The AUD/JPY trimmed some of its Thursday’s losses on Friday, and aims higher 0.27% in late trading during the North American session. Even though the pair is up daily, would finish the week with losses of more than 2.50%, a consequence of comments by Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) Governor Ueda. Therefore, the cross is trading at 95.40, after hitting a daily low of 94.17.

The daily chart portrays the pair as neutral to downward biased, though upside risks remain. If AUD/JPY achieves a daily close within the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) boundaries, that could pave the way for further losses; otherwise, the pair could challenge the December 7 high of 96.49.

If AUD/JPY achieves a daily close below the top of the Kumo, the first support would be the 95.00 figure. A breach of the latter will expose the December 8 low of 94.17, ahead of the 94.00 mark

On the upside, if the pair edges above the peak of the Kumo, the first resistance would be the November 10 swing low-turned resistance at 95.85, ahead of the 96.00 figure. The next resistance would be the Kijun-Sen at 96.14.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis – Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price95.39
Today Daily Change0.48
Today Daily Change %0.51
Today daily open94.91
 
Trends
Daily SMA2097.42
Daily SMA5096.23
Daily SMA10095.34
Daily SMA20093.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High96.54
Previous Daily Low93.73
Previous Weekly High98.5
Previous Weekly Low97.24
Previous Monthly High98.66
Previous Monthly Low95.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%94.8
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%95.47
Daily Pivot Point S193.58
Daily Pivot Point S292.25
Daily Pivot Point S390.76
Daily Pivot Point R196.4
Daily Pivot Point R297.88
Daily Pivot Point R399.21

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Recovers from weekly losses, still bearish below 96.00