|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Downward pressures resume, pair closes its weakest week since April

  • AUD/JPY resumes decline, falling to 105.25, marking one of the lowest levels in over a month.
  • The recovery experienced on Thursday was short-lived as selling pressures resumed, augmenting the prevalent negative outlook.

In Friday's session, the AUD/JPY pair has resumed its downtrend, declining by 0.20% to reach 105.25. The resumption of this bearish trend suggests that the rebound registered previously on Thursday may have been more corrective rather than indicative of a trend reversal. This sustains the dominance of the bears and reinforces the existing negative outlook as the pair will close a 1.60% weekly loss.

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) for AUD/JPY currently stands at 42, slightly below Thursday's value, suggesting a continuation of the negative momentum. The similar pattern in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) that continues to print rising red bars, suggests a continuation of the selling activity, despite the minor rebound seen previously.

AUD/JPY daily chart

On a broader perspective, the AUD/JPY's short-term bearish trajectory seems to persist, with its price remaining below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Looking ahead, immediate support levels appear to have formed around the 105.00 mark, which the buying pressure needs to maintain to fend off a deeper correction. To moderate further potential losses, bulls must aim for the recovery of the 106.00, and subsequently, the 106.50 mark.

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).