AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Dives deep inside the Kumo after breaking a support trendline
- AUD/JPY extends losses for three straight days, breaking below a five-month support trendline at 93.40/50, registering marginal gains of 0.05%.
- The pair exhibits a downward bias, with indicators such as the Kijun and Tenkan-Sen lines signaling bearish momentum following the BoJ's tweaks to YCC.
- Key support lies at the bottom of the Kumo at 92.78, with potential further downside to 91.78. Resistance can be found at the Tenkan-Sen at 93.82, with potential moves towards 94.00.
The AUD/JPY broke below a five-month-old support trendline at around 93.40/50 and extended its losses to three straight days, with the pair getting deep inside the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), about to turn bearish as the Asian session begins. At the time of writing, the AUD/JPY is trading at 93.37, registering minuscule gains of 0.05%.
AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook
From a daily chart perspective, the AUD/JPY remains downward biased, with price action already below the Kijun and Tenkan- Sen lines, while the Chikou Span lies below the June 30 low, which sits at 95.59. In addition, the AUD/JPY breaking below a support trendline confirms that sellers are gathering momentum following the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decision to tweak the Yield Curve Control (YCC).
That said, AUD/JPY traders must be aware of volatility levels increasing in most Japanese Yen (JPY) pairs. Also, the AUD/JPY would remain subject to market sentiment, which could turn worse, if global equities continue to drop.
Hence, the AUD/JPY path of least resistance is downwards. The first support would be the bottom of the Kumo at 92.78, which once cleared, could pave the way to test the July 28 low at 91.78. Conversely, if AUD/JPY achieves a daily close above the Tenkan-Sen at 93.82, that will set a move towards 94.00. Further upside, could put in risk, Thursday’s high of 94.08.
AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.
