|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: An upward break of a bullish flag keep bulls in control, eyeing 83.00

  • The AUD/JPY upside breaks confirm a bullish flag as bulls regain control above the 82.00 mark.
  • AUD/JPY Technical Outlook: Despite being upward biased, would need a daily close above the 100-DMA to cement the uptrend.

The AUD/JPY breaks upward, above the 100 and the 200-day moving averages (DMAs), at 82.53 and 82.40, respectively. At the time of writing, the AUD/JPY cross-currency is trading at 82.56.

The market sentiment is upbeat. US equity indices ended in the green, while Asian stock futures point to a higher open. The risk-sensitive AUD was bolstered in the FX complex, while the JPY was the laggard on the Tuesday session, courtesy of the rise in US T-bond yields, with the 10-year yield, at 1.965%.

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The AUD/JPY broke a bullish flag to the upside, though the 100-DMA capped the move. However, the long-real body of Tuesday’s price action suggests that the uptrend could accelerate towards fresh daily highs, even opening the door for a challenge of the YTD high.

That said, the AUD/JPY first resistance would be January 20 daily high at 82..97. Breach of the latter would expose a four-month-old downslope trendline around the 83.25-40 range, followed by the psychological 84.00 figure.

Contrarily, failure to reclaim 83.00 could pave the way for further losses in the AUD/JPY pair. The first support would be 82.00, pushing the price below the top-trendline of the bullish flag, viewed as a false breakout. A crackdown of the 82.00 mark would expose January 24 daily low at 80.69, followed by January 28 at 80.36.

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price82.56
Today Daily Change0.60
Today Daily Change %0.73
Today daily open81.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA2081.99
Daily SMA5081.95
Daily SMA10082.51
Daily SMA20082.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High82.05
Previous Daily Low81.41
Previous Weekly High82.29
Previous Weekly Low80.55
Previous Monthly High84.3
Previous Monthly Low80.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%81.81
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.66
Daily Pivot Point S181.57
Daily Pivot Point S281.17
Daily Pivot Point S380.93
Daily Pivot Point R182.21
Daily Pivot Point R282.45
Daily Pivot Point R382.85

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, reclaims 1.1600 and beyond

Following an earlier drop to yearly lows around 1.1530, EUR/USD now manages to recoup part of the ground lost and reclaim the area above 1.1600 the figure in the latter part of the NA session on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the pair’s marked retracement comes in response to the unabate march norht in the US Dollar, always propped up by the intense flight-to-safety environment amid the deteriorating geopolitical landscape in the Middle East.

GBP/USD attacks 1.3300, refreshing three-month lows

GBP/USD is deep in the red near 1.3300, accelerating its downside to renew three-month lows in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar capitalizes on increased haven demand.

Gold bounces off lows, back above $5,100

Gold remains on the defensive, eroding part of the recent multi-day advance and managing to trade back above the $5,100 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal initially dropped just below the critical $5,000 threshold on the back of the persistent strength of the Greenback, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and investors' repricing of Fed rate cuts.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pull back as sentiment remains in extreme market fear

The cryptocurrency market is broadly in the red on Tuesday as the Middle East grapples with an escalating war. Bitcoin (BTC) is in a pullback, trading below $67,000 at the time of writing, and most altcoins follow suit.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.