XLM price stares at 40% upswing if Stellar can breach crucial resistance confluence

XLM price is coiling up as it trades below two crucial resistance levels. A breakout from this consolidation could head higher, leading to massive gains or a breakdown that causes a sell-off.

XLM price inches closer to breakout

XLM price has been on a slow downtrend since August 16 and has formed two lower highs while forming a somewhat equal low around $0.343. Drawing a trend line connecting the two swing highs formed on August 16 and 22 reveals that moving higher will be tough.

Adding headwinds to an upswing move is the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.367, which also seems to be squeezing the area for XLM price to move.

However, considering the bullish structure of the cryptocurrency market, investors can expect a bullish breakout. A decisive close above the confluence of these barriers at $0.367 will confirm the start of an uptrend.

The resistance levels at $0.411, $0.444 and $0.496 are three crucial targets that the bulls will aim to conquer in the short term.

A move to $0.496 would constitute a 40% rally from its current position.

XLM/USDT 6-hour chart

On the other hand, if the bears take over, leading to a breakdown of the $0.343 support barrier, it will push XLM price to a stable support level at $0.322.

A decisive 6-hour candlestick close below $0.322 will create a lower low, invalidating the bullish thesis and potentially triggering the 17% crash to $0.265.