Tezos Price Forecast: XTZ edges closer to a 20% bull rally

Tezos price slid into consolidation after a 44% drop from February 20 to 23. The consolidation pattern seems to have found support at $3.2, where XTZ has bounced off thrice. These swing lows could be considered a triple bottom pattern, suggesting that a reversal could be in play.

Tezos price hints at a bullish breakout

Tezos price witnessed aggressive sellers persisting after the 44% drop. Due to this bearish momentum, each bullish swings were lower than the previous ones, resulting in a series of lower highs. However, each time the sellers pushed XTZ lower, it bounced off the horizontal demand barrier at $3.2. By joining these swing highs and swing lows, a descending triangle forms. This technical formation forecasts a target equal to the distance between the pivot high and flat support measured from the breakout point.

In this case, if Tezos price manages a 4-hour candlestick close above $3.5, then a 20% upswing to $4.51 seems likely.

Adding credence to this bullish thesis is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator’s green histograms that have formed above the zero-line. Additionally, the MACD line or 12 four-hour exponential moving average (EMA) crossed above the signal line or 26 EMA on February 25. This move represents a bullish crossover which is still in effect suggesting a positive outlook.

An alternative scenario that Tezos price could witness is a rejection at the triangle’s hypotenuse resulting in a bounce from the flat support. In this scenario, a four-hour candlestick close above $3.62 will result in a 20% upswing to $4.34.

XTZ/USDT 4-hour chart

Regardless, investors should note that a four-hour candlestick close below the horizontal support at $3.2 will invalidate the bullish thesis and result in a 20% downswing to $2.57.