|

Stellar Price Prediction: XLM bullish outlook affirmed last week

  • Stellar price closed Sunday with a weekly hammer pattern.
  • Long-term moving averages on the daily chart remain in uptrends.
  • XLM primed to rise 25% in the coming days.

Stellar price has trended sideways for 33 days between $0.440 and $0.350, and on below-average volume on each day. The 8.5% decline on March 24 was exhausted by the 25th, and XLM closed with a hammer pattern on the weekly chart, putting traders on alert that bulls were back in control. Price has since rebounded to the middle of the channel at $0.395.

Stellar price/volume profile points to accumulation

The cryptocurrency complex experienced increased volatility last week, led by Bitcoin, the bellwether cryptocurrency, but XLM closed the week down only -1.55%. The quick reversal was evidence that shakeouts to or around the low of the channel are being used as accumulation pivots.

Moving forward, XLM needs to close above the high of the Hammer at $0.425 to confirm the reversal. The $0.425 price level corresponds very closely with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). A breakout from this price level will put the channel resistance at $0.440 in play.

A breakout from the channel presents a price vacuum to the 3.618 Fibonacci extension of the May 19-May 2020 bear market at $0.555, a gain of over 25%.

XLM/USD daily chart

XLM/USD daily chart

Stellar price support begins at $0.350, followed by the 100-day SMA at $0.338, and then the February low at $0.314. If none of the levels halt price weakness, XLM is exposed to a more significant decline, taking the altcoin to the January lows around $0.230.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Chainlink risks further losses in early 2026 despite the ecosystem growth

Chainlink (LINK) is down 2% at press time on Tuesday, adding to a nearly 5% decline in December so far. The oracle token risks a negative close for the fourth straight month, potentially signaling a bearish start to 2026. 

Bitcoin retreats as $90,000 rejection, ETF outflows weigh on sentiment

Bitcoin continues to trade lower on Tuesday after failing to break the key $90,000 resistance level the previous day. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $142.90 on Monday, while Strategy Inc. boosts its cash reserves to $2.19 billion.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.