|

Solana Price Analysis: SOL extends slide amid bearish market sentiment

  • Solana is down 3% on Monday, extending the decline below the 50-day EMA.
  • Derivatives data signal bearish bias among traders as market sentiment weakens amid US-Europe tensions.
  • Technically, Solana could further deepen the pullback toward December lows.

Solana (SOL) edges lower by 3% at press time on Monday, extending the 4% drop from Sunday amid US-Europe tensions over Greenland. Derivatives market data signals a downside bias, in line with the broader market pullback, expecting further decline in SOL. Technically, momentum indicators show a surge in bearish pressure amid a sell signal.

Sentiments backing Solana weaken amid market tensions

Solana derivatives record long liquidations of $59.08 million over the last 24 hours, significantly outpacing short liquidations of $1.38 million, reflecting a clear sell-side bias. The SOL futures Open Interest (OI) is down roughly 7% over the same time frame to $8.19 billion, consistent with the long liquidations. This reduction in capital at exposure in SOL derivatives reflects reduced risk appetite among traders.

Additionally, the funding rate of -0.0004% indicates a sell-side bias as traders build new positions.

SOL derivatives data. Source: CoinGlass

On the institutional side, the US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded $46.88 million in inflows last week. However, changes in market dynamics could negatively impact institutional confidence, risking further selling pressure on Tuesday. The US market is closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. 

US spot SOL ETFs data. Source: Sosovalue

Technical outlook: Will Solana price crash to the December low?

Solana remains under intense selling pressure, trading near $130 and below the 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $137-$138, tilting the near-term bias lower. A steady downward trend in Solana could breakdown the rounding bottom chart pattern from the December 18 low at $116. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator crosses below the signal line on the daily chart, with the histogram turning negative and suggesting strengthening bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 is easing below the halfway line, reinforcing an increase in bearish momentum. 

SOL/USDT daily price chart.

On the upside, the initial resistance sits at the supply zone near $148, and a sustained break above it could open room toward the 200-day EMA at $159.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Vishal Dixit

Vishal Dixit

FXStreet

Vishal Dixit holds a B.Sc. in Chemistry from Wilson College but found his true calling in the world of crypto.

More from Vishal Dixit
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pull back amid persistent ETF outflows

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing widespread weakness on Monday, with Bitcoin sliding under the $63,000 mark amid ongoing risk aversion. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are following suit.

NEAR Protocol Price Forecast: NEAR loses steam near key resistance, raising downside risks

NEAR Protocol faces weakness on Monday, reversing from a key overhead trendline near $2.00. Retail demand is easing, with NEAR futures Open Interest and funding rates waning, which sparked the previous week’s rebound.

Bitcoin faces rejection at $64,000 amid persistent ETF outflows

Bitcoin is struggling below $64,000 on Monday after recovering more than 6% over the previous week. Institutional selling continued, with spot ETFs recording net outflows of over $520 million last week, marking the eighth consecutive week of withdrawals.

Pi Network: Steady decline risks a record low despite easing market drag

PI price edges below $0.1150 on Monday, extending its losses for the third straight day. Data shows an intense bearish bias among traders holding short-sided positions, reflecting weak retail support despite easing downside pressure across the crypto market.

Bitcoin: Quarter-end rebalancing might fuel BTC next bullish move
Bitcoin (BTC) is up over 3% so far this week, trading above $61,800 at the time of writing on Friday after slipping to a 21-month low earlier this week. Institutional selling continued, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording net outflows of over $520 million through Thursday, pointing to the eighth consecutive week of withdrawals.
Why is Solana price crashing?