Solana drops below $160, liquidating $26 million in leverage as negative funding rate weighs in

Solana (SOL) price extends its decline and trades around $160 on Monday after falling over 11% last week. The recent correction in SOL has triggered a wave of over $26 million in liquidations in the last 24 hours and $110 million last week. The technical outlook and funding rate suggest a further pullback targeting the $120 mark.

Solana price dips, wiping over $26 million in the last 24 hours

Solana's price declined almost 11% last week and continued falling on Monday, reaching below $160 in the early European session. This correction has triggered a wave of liquidations, resulting in over $26.25 million in liquidations in the last 24 hours and $110 million last week, according to data from CoinGlass.

Strong liquidations like this could spark Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD) among Solana investors, raising selling pressure and leading to a further decline in SOL price.

Solana liquidation chart last 24 hours. Source: Coinglass

SOL total liquidation chart. Source: Coinglass

Additionally, according to Coinglass's OI-Weighted Funding Rate data, the number of traders betting that the price of Solana will slide further is higher than that anticipating a price increase. 

This index is based on the yields of futures contracts, which are weighted by their Open Interest (OI) rates. Generally, a positive rate (longs pay shorts) indicates bullish sentiment, while negative numbers (shorts pay longs) indicate bearishness.

In the case of SOL, this metric stands at -0.0023%, reflecting a negative rate and indicating that shorts are paying longs. This scenario often signifies bearish sentiment in the market, suggesting potential downward pressure on SOL's price.

SOL OI-Weighted Funding Rate chart. Source: Coinglass

Solana Price Forecast: Bears look strong 

Solana price has been declining for five consecutive weeks since it reached an all-time high of $295.83 on January 19. Only last week, it crashed by almost 11%. At the start of this week on Monday, SOL continues to trade down, falling below the $160 mark for the first time since early November.

If SOL continues to correct, it could extend to restest its next daily support at $120.91.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 31, indicating strong bearish momentum still out of oversold levels. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows red histograms below its neutral level of zero, indicating a strong bearish trend. 

SOL/USDT daily chart

Other bearish signs  

Apart from the bearish signs in the technical outlook and on-chain metrics for SOL, the recent news about the LIBRA memecoin and FTX repayments further adds bearish credence. 

Last week, the Solana-based meme coin LIBRA made headlines for its alleged ties to the MELANIA token and the involvement of Argentina’s President Javier Milei. This wiped out millions in the chain's market capitalization.

Moreover, during the same period, the defunded crypto exchange FTX started redistributing tokens owed to creditors after its collapse in 2022. The redistribution has also sparked speculation around Solana. This follows FTX's plan to unlock 11.2 million SOL — worth $2.06 billion — on March 1, marking one of the largest token releases from its bankruptcy holdings.

The token unlock could negatively impact SOL's price, potentially fueled by fears of a drawdown by the redistribution plans. While repayments are moving forward, the decision to use older price valuations remains a major point of contention among creditors.