|

Lido DAO Price Forecast: LDO rallies after Lido V3 testnet launch

  • Lido DAO steadies recovery, reclaiming support above $1.00 on Wednesday.
  • Lido V3 final testnet goes live, aiming to upgrade Lido Core contracts on the main protocol.
  • Traders pile into LDO long positions as the Open Interest-weighted funding rate flips positive.

Lido DAO (LDO) upholds a bullish outlook, trading above $1.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The token native to the Ethereum-based liquid staking protocol rises amid heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, supported by positive sentiment surrounding the launch of the Lido V3 final testnet.

Lido DAO’s V3 testnet launch ignites interest in LDO

Lido DAO announced the launch of Lido V3 Testnet-3 on Monday, marking the final testnet phase ahead of the mainnet rollout. The software update aims to upgrade Lido Core contracts on the main protocol Hoodi testnet environment and will support stVaults.

Lido DAO stated that stVaults, short for staking vaults, is a newly developed staking protocol designed to ensure flexibility and seamless customization of Lido on the Ethereum mainnet.

The new staking protocol marks a significant improvement in Lido’s staking infrastructure while building on the current Lido Core. The stVaults protocol allows users to customize fee structures, select specific Node Operators and configure validator setups, ensuring alignment with individual or institutional preferences.

https://x.com/LidoFinance/status/1978112580968149010

Meanwhile, interest in LDO is gaining momentum following last week’s flash crash, whereby the futures Open Interest-weighted funding rate flipped extremely negative. 

The flash crash caught traders unawares, with many counting losses amid massive liquidations. CoinGlass data shows that the LDO OI-weighted funding has recovered, averaging 0.0050% at the time of writing. As sentiment turns positive, it implies that traders are piling into long positions, anticipating the price of LDO to steady above the short-term $1.00 support.

LDO OI-Weighted Funding Rate | Source: CoinGlass

Technical outlook: Lido DAO bulls attempt breakout 

Lido DAO holds above $1.00, marking the first key short-term following Friday’s crash to $0.23. Backing the liquid staking token’s bullish outlook is the uptrending Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 on the daily chart. This follows a recovery from near oversold conditions, indicating that bullish momentum is increasing.

Although the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has upheld a sell signal since Thursday, a buy signal could be in the offing. Traders should look out for the blue MACD line crossing above the red signal line, encouraging them to increase risk exposure. 

LDO/USDT daily chart

A daily close above the $1.00 level would also affirm the bullish outlook. Still, a confluence resistance formed by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the 100-day EMA, and the 200-day EMA at $1.12 could delay the breakout, resulting in profit-taking.

Lido DAO also trades below a descending trendline, which marks the overdrawn downtrend and must be broken to pave the way for a significant breakout. Losing support at the $1.00 level may increase the chances of LDO trimming recently accrued gains. Key areas of interest include $0.77, which was tested on Saturday, and $0.61, last tested in June.

Open Interest, funding rate FAQs

Higher Open Interest is associated with higher liquidity and new capital inflow to the market. This is considered the equivalent of increase in efficiency and the ongoing trend continues. When Open Interest decreases, it is considered a sign of liquidation in the market, investors are leaving and the overall demand for an asset is on a decline, fueling a bearish sentiment among investors.

Funding fees bridge the difference between spot prices and prices of futures contracts of an asset by increasing liquidation risks faced by traders. A consistently high and positive funding rate implies there is a bullish sentiment among market participants and there is an expectation of a price hike. A consistently negative funding rate for an asset implies a bearish sentiment, indicating that traders expect the cryptocurrency’s price to fall and a bearish trend reversal is likely to occur.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA risks steeper decline amid easing retail demand 

Cardano is trading in the red on Thursday, with roughly 10% losses so far this week, suggesting capitulation after last week’s 30% rally. Waning retail demand in ADA futures amid declining Open Interest and funding rates suggests capitulation speculation. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, with bears targeting the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $0.1899.

Top Altcoins Price Forecast: Ripple eases to $1.40, Solana hits $100, DOGE capped below $0.10

Ripple and Dogecoin are facing downside pressure after double-digit gains last week, while Solana extends its rally to $100. The technical outlook for XRP, SOL, and DOGE points to potential upside as the broader market sustains a risk-on sentiment.

Ethereum Price Forecast: Derivatives demand cools after short squeeze-led rally

After Ethereum gained over 30% last week, bulls have begun dominating its net taker volume. The 30-day moving average of the metric flipped positive last week, indicating immediate market activity in perpetual futures leans toward the upside.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin holds at $78,000 amid US PCE surprise – SPX6900, VeChain rally

The broader cryptocurrency market maintains a constructive tone, with Bitcoin sustaining gains above $78,000 on Thursday. The US July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index inflation came in higher than expected on Wednesday, suggesting that inflation remains elevated. SPX6900 and VeChain recorded double-digit gains over the last 24 hours, emerging as top performers.

Bitcoin: The US Treasury saves BTC

Bitcoin extends gains, trading above $77,000 on Friday after rallying over 20% and reaching its highest level since mid-May. Crypto markets continue to cheer the US Treasury’s decision to double its debt buyback operations, posting their 7th-largest liquidation event in history.