|

How will Polkadot price fare in an uphill battle

  • Polkadot price faces an uphill battle between the high-time-frame resistance at $10.37 and other hurdles in its path.
  • A decisive four-hour candlestick close above $11 will improve its probability of an upswing to $13.65.
  • A four-hour candlestick close below $9.20 will create a lower low and invalidate the bullish thesis for DOT.

Polkadot price wants to embark on an uptrend but the number of hurdles laid in its path suggests this outlook is unlikely. However, a recovery above a certain barrier will make this bullish narrative more plausible.

Polkadot price has an adversarial path

Polkadot price has been consolidating since May 13 and has constantly produced lower highs and lower lows. On June 2, DOT bulls seem to have stepped in, creating a higher low and tighter consolidation. As a result, the June 6 price action has resulted in a 4% upswing.

If Polkadot price continues in this direction, it will face the declining trend line connecting the lower highs formed since May 13 and also the 100 four-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $9.76. 

Adding headwinds to this run-up for DOT is the $10.37 high-time-frame resistance level. Therefore, this cluster of hurdles, extending from $9.76 to $10.37 needs to be overcome for a chance at an upswing. Beyond these blockades, there is also the 200 four-hour SMA at $10.75, which will test the bulls’ strength again.

If Polkadot price manages to produce a four-hour candlestick close above this level and uses it as a support level, the chances of an upswing will multiply. In such a case, investors can expect DOT to attempt a 26% rally to another high-time-frame resistance barrier at $13.65.

DOT/USDT 4-hour chart

DOT/USDT 4-hour chart

While things are looking particularly tough for Polkadot price and the bulls, rejection at any of these levels could hinder the optimistic narrative. If DOT produces a four-hour candlestick below $9.20, it will create a lower low and invalidate the bullish thesis for DOT.

In such a case, Polkadot price could spend time at an intermediate support level at $8.51 and eventually crash to $7.10 if the selling pressure continues to build up.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Ethereum Price Forecast: FG Nexus continues distribution amid signs of returning risk-on sentiment

FG Nexus, once dubbed an Ethereum treasury firm, resumed offloading the top altcoin on Wednesday, distributing 7,550 ETH, according to data from smart money tracker EmberCN.

Top Crypto Gainers: Stable and Decred rally, Pippin approaches record highs

Altcoins, such as Stable, Decred, and Pippin, are extending gains so far this week, defying the risk-averse conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market. Stable and Pippin are near record high levels, while Decred extends its breakout rally above $30.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.