|

Ethereum price screams 'sell,' but fundamentals have never been stronger

  • Ethereum price hints at a correction due to the TD Sequential indicator's recent sell signal.
  • While a downswing could push ETH near its previous ATH at $1,440, it is unlikely due to increasingly bullish fundamentals.
  • Declining ETH supply on exchanges and other fundamentals hint that ETH might be headed to $3,000 shortly.

Ethereum price notes a slow down in its 150% year-to-date return. Although the recent sell-off may have played a role in reducing its momentum, the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator a halt in the smart contracts platform token's rally.

Ethereum price at crossroads as bullish momentum wanes

Ethereum price has seen a drastic reduction in momentum as the last three 3-day candles have grown increasingly small.

The TD Sequential indicator's most recent sell signal presented in the form of a green nine candlestick affirms the lack of buyers and the mounting selling pressure. 

Technically, this setup stipulates that a one to four candlestick correction must follow.

If this were to occur, then ETH could head down to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $1,490.

On the off chance, the price slices through the barrier mentioned above, then ETH could correct up to its previous ATH at $1,440.

ETH/USDT 3-day chart

ETH/USDT 3-day chart

While the technical aspects indeed point towards a correction, on-chain fundamentals suggest that this correction might either be small or never come.

Exchange addresses holding ETH has dropped nearly 9% since January 9. Correspondingly, Ethereum price has seen a 30%.

Exchange addresses holding ETH chart

Exchange addresses holding ETH chart

Whales holding 100,000 to 1 million ETH have increased their holdings by 3.25% from February 2 and 4.6% from January 2. Within the same periods, ETH price has seen a 140% and 16.5% increase.

Ethereum holder distribution chart

Ethereum holder distribution chart

Glassnode's on-chain metric shows that about 97% of all the coins in circulation are in profit, further supporting the bullish thesis.

Ethereum percent supply
Ethereum percent supply in profit chart

Coinbase, America's most popular exchange, announced a waitlist for ETH staking, which signals that more ETH supply will be taken out of circulation and placed in staking, effectively reducing the coins available for selling.

All-in-all, ETH's prospects, in the long run, seems quite bullish. Hence, a decisive one-day or perhaps even a 3-day close above the new all-time high at $1,871 will invalidate the short-term bearish outlook and rally the coin to new highs around the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $3,000.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Michael Selig assumes role as new CFTC Chair, what does this mean for crypto?

Michael Selig has been sworn in to serve as the 16th Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Selig was confirmed by the US Senate to head the commission last week, following his October nomination by the US President Donald Trump.

Crypto.com hires sports trader for event prediction market-making

Crypto.com plans to recruit a quant trader for the sports market-making team to buy and sell financial contracts related to these events. Opponents argue that internal trading desks put operators or their affiliates on the opposite side of customer trades. 

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.