|

Ethereum price screams 'sell,' but fundamentals have never been stronger

  • Ethereum price hints at a correction due to the TD Sequential indicator's recent sell signal.
  • While a downswing could push ETH near its previous ATH at $1,440, it is unlikely due to increasingly bullish fundamentals.
  • Declining ETH supply on exchanges and other fundamentals hint that ETH might be headed to $3,000 shortly.

Ethereum price notes a slow down in its 150% year-to-date return. Although the recent sell-off may have played a role in reducing its momentum, the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator a halt in the smart contracts platform token's rally.

Ethereum price at crossroads as bullish momentum wanes

Ethereum price has seen a drastic reduction in momentum as the last three 3-day candles have grown increasingly small.

The TD Sequential indicator's most recent sell signal presented in the form of a green nine candlestick affirms the lack of buyers and the mounting selling pressure. 

Technically, this setup stipulates that a one to four candlestick correction must follow.

If this were to occur, then ETH could head down to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $1,490.

On the off chance, the price slices through the barrier mentioned above, then ETH could correct up to its previous ATH at $1,440.

ETH/USDT 3-day chart

ETH/USDT 3-day chart

While the technical aspects indeed point towards a correction, on-chain fundamentals suggest that this correction might either be small or never come.

Exchange addresses holding ETH has dropped nearly 9% since January 9. Correspondingly, Ethereum price has seen a 30%.

Exchange addresses holding ETH chart

Exchange addresses holding ETH chart

Whales holding 100,000 to 1 million ETH have increased their holdings by 3.25% from February 2 and 4.6% from January 2. Within the same periods, ETH price has seen a 140% and 16.5% increase.

Ethereum holder distribution chart

Ethereum holder distribution chart

Glassnode's on-chain metric shows that about 97% of all the coins in circulation are in profit, further supporting the bullish thesis.

Ethereum percent supply
Ethereum percent supply in profit chart

Coinbase, America's most popular exchange, announced a waitlist for ETH staking, which signals that more ETH supply will be taken out of circulation and placed in staking, effectively reducing the coins available for selling.

All-in-all, ETH's prospects, in the long run, seems quite bullish. Hence, a decisive one-day or perhaps even a 3-day close above the new all-time high at $1,871 will invalidate the short-term bearish outlook and rally the coin to new highs around the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $3,000.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital

If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC shrugs off CLARITY Act setback and hawkish Fed

Bitcoin recovers, trading above $78,000 on Friday, but the 50-week SMA near $78,760 continues to cap its upside. A hawkish Fed outlook, escalating Middle East tensions, and the CLARITY Act's failure to advance in the US Senate could limit BTC upside.

Why Bitcoin's over 30% rebound doesn't mean the bear market cycle is done

BTC has staged a strong recovery after falling to a yearly low of $57,800 in July, gaining nearly 33% and recording two consecutive months of gains in July and August. Is this the start of a new bullish phase, or simply another recovery within a broader bear-market cycle?

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP eye short-term breakout as bulls return

Bitcoin trades higher near $78,000 on Friday as bulls return after early-week macro uncertainty and regulatory headwinds. Ethereum aligns with the broader crypto market’s neutral-to-bullish outlook, holding support above $2,400 and gaining momentum for a short-term breakout at $2,500.

Bitcoin: BTC shrugs off CLARITY Act setback and hawkish Fed
Bitcoin (BTC) price action has remained resilient this week, trading above $78,000 at the time of writing on Friday, heading toward a key resistance zone. Institutional demand shows early signs of weakness, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track for a second straight week of outflows, with over $420 million recorded through Thursday amid escalating Middle East tensions.