Ethena Price Forecast: ENA bullish case returns as open interest climbs back to $1 billion

Ethena (ENA) is extending intraday gains on Thursday, trading at around $0.63 at the time of writing, up more than 5% on the day. The token upholds a short-term bullish structure amid a renewed increase in Open Interest that could boost ENA toward the key resistance at $0.70.

Ethena rebounds as open interest steadies 

Ethena’s derivatives market sheds light on the intraday breakout, suggesting that the short-term bullish case could remain steady in upcoming sessions. According to CoinGlass data, Open Interest (OI), which refers to the notional value of outstanding futures or options contracts, has rebounded above the $1 billion mark. This uptick follows a brief decline to $916 billion following last week’s sell-off. 

Ethena Futures Open Interest | Source: CoinGlass

A persistent increase in OI indicates that traders have a strong conviction in the uptrend and are willing to leverage long positions. The positive funding rate (chart below) affirms the bullish outlook. As sentiment improves, the probability of Ethena breaching the next hurdle at $0.70 and later extending the rally above the $1.00 level would significantly increase.

Ethena Futures Contracts Funding Rate | Source: CoinGlass

Meanwhile, liquidations in the derivatives market reached approximately $4.2 million in the last 24 hours. Short position holders accounted for the lion’s share of the liquidations, with around $3.63 million wiped out compared to roughly $623,000 in longs. The increase in short position liquidations underscores Ethena’s bullish case.

Ethena derivatives market liquidations | Source: CoinGlass

Technical outlook: Ethena bulls eye short-term breakout

Ethena price is trading above several key levels, including the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.58, the 100-period EMA at $0.55 and the 200-period EMA at $0.48, backing its short-term bullish technical structure.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator affirms that bullish momentum is building as traders seek exposure following the validation of a buy signal triggered on Wednesday. 

Speculative demand could remain steady as long as the blue MACD line holds above the red signal line. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is approaching overbought territory on the 4-hour chart, underpins the increase in buying pressure. 

ENA/USDT 4-hour chart

Still, Ethena holds below the descending broken trendline, which could delay the uptrend, or encourage risk-off sentiment and profit taking. A daily close above the support at $0.60 would allow bulls to collect liquidity before pushing toward $0.70 resistance in the short term and the $1.00 critical level in the medium term.