|

Crypto is immune to these headlines

In terms of price action, things have actually been rather dull in the crypto space, with most assets trading in narrow ranges over the seven days through Thursday, even into Friday.

That probably comes as something of a surprise to many who’ve seen the two major developments over the last couple days …

President Trump tested positive for COVID-19, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the U.S. Department of Justice are going after the world’s first crypto derivatives exchange, BitMEX.

How have these two events affected crypto assets as a whole?

Well, judging by the price action we’ve seen so far, they haven’t.

With regard to the Weiss 50 Crypto Index (W50), we note first its narrow range, with the week-to-week change coming in at 0.79% as of Thursday’s close.

The market-cap splits reveal much the same.

The Weiss Large-Cap Crypto Index (WLC) finished the week down 1.05%, mirroring the action in the W50 as well as the W50X.

The Weiss Mid-Cap Crypto Index (WMC) traded more in line with the altcoin complex as a whole, rising 3.85% over the seven-day trading week.

We see the most weakness coming out of the small caps, as the Weiss Small-Cap Crypto Index (WSC) shed 4.27% for the week.

It’s quite interesting to see the small caps faring the worst this week because this is the sector least affected by headlines. This tells us that crypto assets are largely trading based on their own internal dynamics.

And, let’s face it: The fundamental reason people flee to crypto is in no way affected by the headlines we’ve been treated to this week — or will be treated to in the hours, days and weeks to come.

Crypto assets are in a long-term bull market because governments have used — and abused — their power of the printing press to try to stave off economic contractions. Not only are reckless money-printing schemes ineffective at creating economic prosperity, the only thing they do cause in the long run is widespread asset-price inflation, increasing economic inequality along the way.

This is as true now as it’s been throughout history.

The political tensions caused by the reckless mismanagement of the economy can be felt the world over, and neither of the men vying for the White House, or the political parties they represent, have any hope — or intention — of stopping these long-term trends.

Crypto is a shelter — perhaps the only viable one — against the monetary insanity that’s taken over the world’s most developed economies.

At the same time, the CFTC and the Department of Justice going after BitMEX — the oldest crypto derivatives exchange — is also a non-event. It’s been known among market participants that BitMEX has been in the crosshairs of U.S. regulators since at least 2019. 

Most derivatives exchanges know better than to serve U.S. customers. And virtually all of them have strict “know your customer” requirements to enforce these policies.

From a big-picture perspective, this is damaging for the U.S.-based crypto industry only.

And all it accomplishes is to reinforce yet another trend that has also long been in motion: The crypto industry is unable to thrive in the U.S. and most developers and talent are moving offshore to build their products.

It’s precisely because these two developments only reinforce what we already know to be true: Crypto assets have remained unfazed in the face of what, on the surface, seem like “shocking” events.

Author

Juan Villaverde

Juan Villaverde

Weiss Crypto Ratings

Juan Villaverde is an econometrician and mathematician devoted to the analysis of cryptocurrencies since 2012.

More from Juan Villaverde
Share:

Editor's Picks

CFTC Chairman pushes for crypto regulations as agency seeks public comments on proposed rules

Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman, Michael Selig, said the agency will move ahead with crypto market regulations after Congress failed to advance legislation that would have established a broader framework for digital assets.

Ripple and Stellar outlook: XRP and XLM weaken as derivatives positioning fades

Ripple and Stellar face pressure trading below $1.499 and $0.220, respectively, after a modest correction at the start of the week. Traders should be cautious as weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum suggest further corrections for XRP and XLM. Derivatives data shows a weakening and cautious signal among traders.

Zcash Price Forecast: NU7 upgrade sets the stage for ZEC to resume its rally

Zcash hovers around $1,348 sustaining its mild gains from Sunday. The network upgrade NU7 went live on Monday, boosting transaction speed and redirecting 60% of transaction fees into future rewards. The institutional outflow eased to roughly $3.50 million on Monday, down from $93.56 million last week, suggesting reduced pressure from redemptions.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine scoops extra ETH tokens following Q3 outperformance
Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its buying streak of the top altcoin last week. The firm acquired 15,112 ETH, lifting its holdings to 6.016 million ETH, representing 4.9% of ETH's circulating supply and worth $16.16 billion at the time of writing. That brings the company roughly 98.5% closer to acquiring 5% of ETH's supply, a goal it tags "Alchemy of 5%."
Bitcoin: Is BTC setting up for an Uptober rally?
Bitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading near $86,000 at the time of writing on Friday after closing September 6.33% up, reversing its seasonal weakness. Historical data suggest October could be a strong month for BTC, especially after a positive September.