|

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Flat.

  • Position: Wave C.

  • Next higher degree direction: Wave (b).

  • Wave cancellation level: N/A.

Analysis summary:

Bitcoin is currently advancing toward the completion of wave ⑤, marking the conclusion of the larger wave V cycle.

Following a rebound from $74,322.85 in April, Bitcoin has shown a strong upward move aligned with a classic impulse wave structure. It is now nearing the final phase of wave ⑤, signaling the end of a primary wave V. Wave (4) appears to have completed an A-B-C corrective pattern, and the current movement suggests a final push upward in sub-wave (5). Key Fibonacci target:

  • Target: $118,187.22 – Represents a 100% Fibonacci extension of wave 1.

Trading strategies

  • Approach:

    • Short-term strategy (Swing trading):

      • Long traders should consider locking in profits incrementally as the price nears the $117k–$118k zone.

      • Traders expecting a trend reversal may prepare for short positions in wave A once wave ⑤ ends, looking for Bearish Engulfing patterns or RSI divergence.

  • Risk management:

    • Status: Not Available

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Flat.

  • Position: Wave C.

  • Next higher degree direction: Wave (b).

  • Wave cancellation level: N/A.

Analysis summary:

Bitcoin is progressing toward the end of wave ⑤, signaling the final phase of the broader wave V cycle.

Bitcoin rebounded from $74,322.85 in April and has since moved steadily upward in a typical impulse formation. It is now entering the last stretch of wave ⑤, completing the larger wave V. The previous wave (4) followed a simple A-B-C correction, and sub-wave (5) appears to be targeting a Fibonacci projection of:

  • Target: $118,187.22 – A 100% extension of wave 1.

Trading strategies

  • Approach:

    • Short-term strategy (Swing trading):

      • Long traders are advised to secure profits in stages around the $117k–$118k range.

      • Potential reversal traders should monitor for bearish signals like RSI divergence or candlestick patterns to short wave A after wave ⑤ completes.

  • Risk management:

    • Status: Not Available

Analyst: Kittiampon Somboonsod, CEWA.

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin steadies around $70,000, Ethereum and XRP remain under pressure 

Bitcoin hovers around $70,000, up near 15% from last week's low of $60,000 despite low retail demand. Ethereum delicately holds $2,000 support as weak technicals weigh amid declining futures Open Interest.

Pi Network extends decline as steady mainnet migration adds pressure

PI edges lower by over 3% at press time on Monday, marking a third consecutive day of losses. The declining trend in PI aligns with the steady mainnet migration of PI tokens, which may fuel selling pressure. The technical outlook for PI remains bearish, with bearish momentum persisting. 

Bitcoin slips below $70,000 as ETF outflows, realized losses fuel bearish outlook

Bitcoin price trades in red below $70,000 on Monday after correcting nearly 9% in the previous week. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $318 million weekly outflow, marking the third consecutive week of withdrawals.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.