Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bearish price action at either $3,732 or $3,914.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm Tokyo time Wednesday.

Long Trades

  • Long entry at a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,830 or $3,732.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $4,100.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that we had just seen a change of tone with a relatively strong bullish push breaking up past former resistance though so far, the move has been held by the resistance at $3,732 which looked likely to be the day’s crucial pivotal level. If the price could trade above that level for a couple of hours later, I was ready to take a bullish bias as we would then be likely to see further upwards movement, with enough empty space stretching all the way to $3,914. This was a good call, as the price did trade above the level and continued to rise from there, getting as high as $3,950 at one point. The rise over the past few days is relatively strong compared to recent flat action, and there is no resistance until $4,100 so I would take a bullish bias if the price can trade above $3,950 for a couple of hours later today. There are good technical reasons to be taking a bullish bias here.

Bitcoin

There is nothing of high importance due today regarding the USD.

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