|

Bitcoin price set to enter next phase of bearish price action

  • Bitcoin price action slides over 5% for the week.
  • BTC price action risks slipping below an important supportive barrier.
  • Expect to see price action deteriorate further – possibly to $16,020 by mid-November at this rate.

Bitcoin (BTC) price action is not in a sweet spot this week as markets were rattled once again by events in the United Kingdom. Although initially, one would think it has nothing to do with cryptocurrencies, the problem with the UK is that it is on the brink of collapse. During her 45-day tenure, Prime Minister Truss succeeded in almost pushing the UK bond market into the abyss. If the BoE had not stepped in, the IMF would have had to make sure no spillover effects touchedEurope, the US and Australia, risking a blood bath in the markets with cryptocurrencies as one of the casualties of the meltdown.

BTC price has a soft side toward geopolitics

Bitcoin price action, aside from the turmoil in the markets, arguably had it coming anyway after its firm rejection by the 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). That happened on Tuesday as the political issues escalated again in the UK, until finally Truss was forced to resign on Thursday. With the political field now wide open, the UK is at the mercy of the markets with downside pressures coming from all quarters.

BTC price action is thus set to slip firmly below $19,036 and enter back into that lower area tested in September. A return of $18,000 would make sense, as that would be around the low of September 21, 2022. Overall, and depending on the evolution in the coming weeks, traders best prepare for $16,000 to be on the quote board by mid-November.

 BTC/USD Daily chart

 BTC/USD Daily chart

The only straw that bulls have to hang on to is that earnings season next week could bring some positive returns together with the fact that the new economic plan from the new finance minister Hunt will be rolled out – either with or without a new PM in office. That should help calm the markets, and we could see some bulls returning to the scene. A return to $19,662 could be on the cards, along with a retest once again of the 55-day SMA and that red descending trend line.

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.
XRP falls toward key support as macro uncertainty, weak momentum cap recovery
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stabilize at lower levels amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic risks
The broader cryptocurrency market is rising on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $77,000 after testing lower support near $76,500. Ethereum (ETH) shows signs of stability, hovering above the support provided at $2,400 despite capped upside at $2,500. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) holds above $1.33 after three straight days of declines, reflecting growing headwinds due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Bitcoin pulls back as another golden cross fails to deliver
Earlier this week, Bitcoin formed a golden cross, a technical signal that occurs when the price’s 50-day moving average rises above the 200-day moving average and is conventionally viewed as a precursor to a bullish rally. Historically, however, that’s often not been the case.
Bitcoin: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.