|

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC/USD ultimate correction to $11,000 calls – Confluence Detector

  • Bitcoin price hits a barrier marginally above $11,500, killing the bulls’ efforts for gains above $12,000.
  • Bitcoin could plummet further to refresh levels around the strongest support at $10,954 if short term support at $11,308 caves.

Bitcoin made a persuasive move, stepping above $11,500. This price action followed an overwhelming support at $11,100. However, it became difficult to contain gains above $11,500, culminating the ongoing roll-down eyeing $11,000. BTC/USD is dancing at $11,345 at the time of writing.

According to the short term technical picture, the largest cryptocurrency is gradually falling back into the hands of the bears. The MACD highlights a stronger sellers’ grip as it dives from August high at 665. Similarly, the RSI is extending the lower high and lower low pattern from the overbought region (86) to the current level at 50 (midline). If the trend of the MACD and the RSI remains intact in the coming sessions, BTC would retest support at $11,100 and this time refresh $11,000.

It is vital to recognize that buying pressure is not entirely purged from the market but the prevailing technical condition limits the volume needed to sustain gains towards $12,000. For instance, the 50-day SMA is still widening the gap above the 200-day SMA. In other words, there is buying activity ongoing unfortunately it is not enough. For now, support at $11,300 is key to averting possible losses that could refresh the levels around $11,000.

BTC/USD daily chart

BTC/USD price chart

Bitcoin confluence levels

Resistance one: $11,427 – Home to a cluster of indicators including the previous low 1-hour, the SMA five 15-minutes, the Bollinger Band 15-minutes and the 200 SMA 4-hour among others.

Resistance two: $11,545 – Highlighted by the previous week low, the Bollinger Band 1-hour upper and the previous high one-day.

Support one: $11,308 – Hosts the previous day low, the Bollinger Band one-day lower curve and the pivot point one-day support one.

Support two: $10,954 – The most significant support as highlighted by the pivot point one-week support two and the Fibo 23.6% one-minute.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple eyes short-term bullish turn as investor demand returns

Ripple exhibits strong recovery prospects, trading above $1.10 on Friday. This rebound aligns with the broader crypto market and can be attributed to easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing appetite for risk assets.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Quarter-end rebalancing might fuel BTC next bullish move

Bitcoin recovers to $61,800 on Friday after falling to a 21-month low of $57,800. US-listed spot ETFs recorded outflows of $526.64 million through Thursday, pointing to the eighth consecutive week of withdrawals.

Pi Network posts minor gains amid easing risk-off market sentiment

Pi Network (PI) shows minor recovery on Friday, a slow follow-through of the 2% rebound from the previous day. The recovery in PI aligns with the easing broader market risk-off sentiment, fueling speculative interest in the token.

Bitcoin: Quarter-end rebalancing might fuel BTC next bullish move
Bitcoin (BTC) is up over 3% so far this week, trading above $61,800 at the time of writing on Friday after slipping to a 21-month low earlier this week. Institutional selling continued, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording net outflows of over $520 million through Thursday, pointing to the eighth consecutive week of withdrawals.