Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC mining difficulty is set to decrease by 15.95% - bulls should adopt the ready position

  • Bitcoin's recovery stalled as the coin failed to move above $7,000.
  • The fundamentals imply that Bitcoin may be on the verge of a long-term bullish trend.

Bitcoin has barely moved in recent 24 hours. The first digital asset is changing hands at $6,600 with no clear short-term direction. BTC/USD hit the intraday high at $6,795, but the upside momentum faded away quickly. According to the data provided by Intotheblock, there is a cluster of  BTC addresses that has a break-even point in the range from $6,600 to $6,800, which makes this area particularly tough for the bulls.

Bitcoin mining difficulty spikes

Bitcoin's mining difficulty dropped by nearly 16%, which is the second-largest decrease on record. Mining difficulty is one of the essential parameters of the Bitcoin network. It shows how difficult it is to perform mathematical calculations to find a new block and get the reward. The difficulty is adjusted every 2016 blocks depending on the average time spent on discovering the previous blocks. 

The sharp decrease of this parameter means that some miners took their equipment offline, which is also confirmed by the collapse of the hash rate. On March 25, it dripped to 75.7 EH/s, down 44 percent from where it was two weeks ago. Due to the sharp hash rate decrease, a block discovery took over 10 minutes. 

Small miners dropped out of the game as after a sharp BTC collapse on March 12, they were no longer breaking even. However, the enormous mining difficulty adjustment, which will happen on Friday, around 7:00 GMT, may provide them with much-needed relief.

If history is any guide, such events lead to a substantial price increase of the first digital asset. Thus, the 15% drop of difficulty on Dec. 3, 2018, resulted in BTC/USD rally. The coin gained more than 300% in the first half of 2019. A similar trend was registered after massive reductions in 2011 and 2012.

BTC/USD: Technical picture

From the technical point of view, $7,000 remains the key resistance to be taken out. Once it is out of the way, the recovery may gain traction with the next focus on $8,200-$8,400. This resistance area is created by a confluence of strong technical indicators, including SMA100, SMA200 and SMA50 daily and 23.6% Fibo retracement for the downside move from June 2019 high to December 2019 low. 

On the downside, the vital support is created by psychological $6,000. A sustainable move below this level will attract speculative sellers to the market and push the price to SMA200 weekly at $5,500. This area may slow down the sell-off and trigger a recovery. 

BTC/USD daily chart

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Cryptos feed

Latest Crypto News

Latest Crypto News & Analysis

Editors’ Picks

Why is the market falling today?

The trading week is coming to an end, and the crypto market leaders seem to be inviting people to go on holiday and come back in a few weeks to see if anything has happened by chance. The current low volatility is never comfortable for the active trader, aware that today's extreme calm is the prelude to an explosion of instability in the future.

More Bitcoin News

ADA/USD regains ground after sharp sell-off, further recovery is limited

Cardano (ADA) lost over 6.5% of its value on Thursday as the cryptocurrency market moved into red territory. At the time of writing, ADA/USD is changing hands at $0.1228 after a short-lived move to $0.1181.

More Cardano News

ETH/USD succumbs to selling pressure and drops to $230 after major Twitter hack involving crypto

Ethereum has dropped to $230 after a significant sell-off following the recent Twitter hack. The attacker targeted all major cryptocurrency exchanges followed by prominent figures...

More Ethereum News

XTZ/USD recovers from a sudden drop below $3

Tezos is still trading inside a massive daily uptrend and is not facing a lot of resistance until $4. The current daily candlestick is a bullish one, especially if the buyers can hold Tezos price above $3.24. 

More Tezos News


Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC volatility drops to a year low, get ready for a spiral drive

The week was tough for the cryptocurrency markets confined to tight ranges. Bitcoin has lost 1% of its value during the recent seven days with the trading range limited by $9,298 on the upside and $8,933 on the downside.

Read the weekly forecast