|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bearish bias still intact while below 200-HMA

  • BTC buyers appear struggling on the road to recovery.  
  • Technical set up still remains in favor of the bears in the near-term.
  • BTC/USD breached 10k for the first in four days in a wild Saturday trading.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD), the most favorite cryptocurrency, witnessed a volatile Saturday and slipped below the 10k mark for the first time in four days. The spot saw some aggressive selling after the bulls failed to defend the key support around 10,080 (as well predicted here), exposing the 9,700 level. On Sunday, the BTC buyers seem to have returned, as they strive to extend the recovery mode beyond the 10k level. At the time of writing, Bitcoin battles 10k, gaining 1% on the day while down nearly 2.75% over the last 24 hours. Its market capitalization now stands at $182.06 billion, down from $186.27 billion seen before the late-Saturday slump.

Technical Overview

BTC/USD hourly chart

 

From a technical perspective, the corrective slide in the No. 1 coin accelerated only after the 21-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA), now at 10,035, pierced both 50 and 100-HMAs from above. The spot saw a fresh leg lower and subsequently reached a new four-day low at 9,755.78 after the bulls caved into the 200-HMA support near 10,080. At the same time, the hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) extended its south-run and entered the oversold territory.

As for Sunday’s trading so far, the bearish 21-HMA continues to cap the recovery attempts while the hourly RSI remains below the mid-line. Only a sustained break above the latter would offer some fresh signs of life to the BTC bulls. But the key horizontal 200-HMA support-turned-resistance, now at 10,090 needs to be taken out for a move back towards the 10,200 level. In the near-term, the bearish bias still remains intact as long as the price trades below the 200-HMA and therefore, a re-test of the 9,700 mark (key horizontal trendline support) cannot be ruled out.

BTC/USD key levels to watch

BTC/USD

Overview
Today last price10011.02
Today Daily Change114.14
Today Daily Change %1.15
Today daily open9905.69
 
Trends
Daily SMA209689.31
Daily SMA508717.59
Daily SMA1008171.82
Daily SMA2008881.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High10399.45
Previous Daily Low9755.78
Previous Weekly High10511.86
Previous Weekly Low9707.96
Previous Monthly High9568.13
Previous Monthly Low6856.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%10001.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%10153.57
Daily Pivot Point S19641.17
Daily Pivot Point S29376.64
Daily Pivot Point S38997.5
Daily Pivot Point R110284.84
Daily Pivot Point R210663.98
Daily Pivot Point R310928.51

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Michael Selig assumes role as new CFTC Chair, what does this mean for crypto?

Michael Selig has been sworn in to serve as the 16th Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Selig was confirmed by the US Senate to head the commission last week, following his October nomination by the US President Donald Trump.

Crypto.com hires sports trader for event prediction market-making

Crypto.com plans to recruit a quant trader for the sports market-making team to buy and sell financial contracts related to these events. Opponents argue that internal trading desks put operators or their affiliates on the opposite side of customer trades. 

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.