|

Bitcoin Market Update: BTC bulls bank on S&P 500 rally and new fiscal stimulus

  • Bitcoin (BTC) locked in a tight range amid market uncertainty.
  • S&P 500 rally may lend support to Bitcoin bulls.

Bitcoin (BTC) is creeping towards $9,300 on Monday, however, all previous attempts to settle above this area proved to be futile. Bitcoin has stayed mostly unchanged both on a day-to-day basis and since the beginning of Monday, while its market dominance dropped to 62.2%. 

Bitcoin fundamentals

Meanwhile, the future of Bitcoin remains uncertain at this stage. According to the poll carried out by a popular crypto trader Josh Rager, Bitcoin is nowhere near the bottom and the sell-off may continue towards at least $8,500 before the growth is resumed. Over 62% of the 2,134 respondents are in the bear's camp, while only 38.8% believe that Bitcoin has already bottomed at $9,000.

A lack of upside momentum supports the bearish view, however, there are some factors that may support BTC and even cause a strong rally. 

First, Bitcoin's correlation to S&P 500 has been growing recently, which means that the further positive momentum on the US stock market may be supportive of the first digital asset. 

Second, looming fiscal stimulus may remind investors about their inflationary concerns. Considering that Bitcoin is often regarded as a hedge against inflation, new monetary injections may also attract new buyers to BTC.

Third, the nascent altseason may eventually awaken Bitcoin bulls and push the price towards $10,000. Once this technical barrier is broken, the upside momentum will start snowballing.

BTC/USD: technical picture

On the intraday chart, BTC/USD is supported by a combination of 1-hour SMA50, SMA100 and SMA200 at $9,250. If this area is broken, the sell-off will continue towards $9,200 and $9,150. The ultimate short-term support is created by a psychological $9,000.
 
On the upside, we will need to see a sustainable move above Sunday's high at $9,345 for the upside to gain traction with the next focus on $9,400.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.
Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
Bitcoin, Ether and XRP selloff wipes out $1.5 billion in leveraged crypto bets
Crypto traders betting on higher prices had about $1.29 billion in positions forcibly closed over the past 24 hours, as the selloff following Binance’s security breach pushed bitcoin, ether and smaller tokens lower. Total liquidations reached $1.53 billion by Friday morning in Asia, according to CoinGlass. Long positions, bets that prices would rise, accounted for 83.8% of the total.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP sell-off cools after Binance security breach
Cryptocurrency prices are on edge on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) delicately holding onto a short-term $78,000 support, Ethereum (ETH) edging lower near $2,200 and Ripple (XRP) attempting a recovery above support established at $1.20. The cooldown follows Binance, the largest crypto exchange, after it reported a hack that impacted about $6.3 billion.
Bitcoin: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.