|

Yen jumps as BoJ’s Ueda hints at rate hike

The Japanese yen has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 154.34, down 0.70% on the day.

Ueda says rate decision will depend on data

Bank of Japan Governor Ueda’s remarks are always closely monitored and often move the financial markets. That was the case today as the yen has posted sharp gains after Ueda’s comments at an event in Tokyo today. Ueda said that the BoJ would make its rate decisions “meeting by meeting” on the basis of the information available. Those comments certainly weren’t eye-opening, but Ueda also said that the BoJ would “seriously” review the impact of exchange rates on inflation and the economy and noted the yen’s sharp swings.

The markets viewed Ueda’s remarks as a hint of a possible rate hike at the Dec. 19 meeting. The BoJ raised rates in July, partly in response to the weak yen. The central bank has often voiced concern about sharp movement from the yen and could hike again as early as December in order to boost the wobbly Japanese currency.

The rise in inflation has hurt Japanese households and the coalition government is set to approve a massive $140 billion stimulus package to provide some relief. Prime Minister Ishiba is trying to stay in power with a fragile minority government and will need the opposition’s agreement to pass the bill. The spending bill will raise the already huge government debt and an interest rate hike would raise the cost of servicing the debt.

USD/JPY Technical

  • USD/JPY has pushed below support at 155.28 and is testing support at 154.68.

  • 1.5604 and 1.5664 are the next resistance lines.

Chart

Author

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

MarketPulse

A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities.

More from Kenny Fisher
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays below 1.3400 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction and stays below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, making it difficult for the British Pound gather recovery momentum. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on headlines coming out of the Middle East.

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1400 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1400 on Wednesday. In the absence of high-impact data releases, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caps the pair's upside. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce monetary policy decisions.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

XRP consolidates as inflows and volume climb
Ripple (XRP) retains a slightly bullish outlook on Wednesday despite logging a minor correction from the supply range near $1.15. The remittance token is down 0.5% on the day, reflecting a broader cryptocurrency market drawdown, primarily driven by persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East.
US – Fed preview: A divided hold
The first month after Kevin Warsh's debut at the FOMC's June meeting has brought mixed signals on the inflation front. On one hand, the re-escalation of the war in Iran has lifted energy prices higher again. Yet on the other hand, Warsh's hawkish comments have already lifted real rates, supported broad USD and tightened financial conditions while realized inflation surprised to the downside in June.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.