|

Will the Fed be Finally Convinced to Slash Rates? [Video]

The dollar weakened last week after a deluge of disappointing data like the ISM and the NFP while safe-havens gained as investors nervously await U.S.-China talks this week for signs of whether the two sides can de-escalate or end their simmering trade war. The streak of weak U.S. data has meanwhile put more pressure on the Federal Reserve to slash rates sooner rather than later so investors will be closely monitoring the release of the latest FOMC minutes this Wednesday. 

Markets Turn Red as Optimism Fades

Global bourses pushed in negative territory today amid broader fears that the U.S. and China will fail to resolve their trade differences while a fresh wave of violent incidents in Hong Kong weighed on Asian Markets. In Europe major indices opened on a bearish note this morning as traders search for hints on the direction of Brexit and U.S.-China trade talks. On the Brexit front, markets are also uncertain as there is no resolution in sight ahead of the Oct 31st deadline. 

Brexit: What’s Happening? 

British negotiators will be given another chance today to explain their Brexit plan, while President Emmanuel Macron of France said he had given Boris Johnson, Britain’s prime minister, until this Friday to come up with a totally revised plan — emphasizing that the current one is unacceptable.

USD Subdued on Weak Data and Impeachment Investigation

The dollar remains subdued on weak data, deflated hopes of a U.S./China agreement and mounting pressure on U.S. President Donald Trump during a fresh impeachment investigation. The number of “whistle-blowers” has also increased to two after a second intelligence official with “firsthand knowledge” provided information related to President Trump’s dealings in Ukraine, according to the legal team now representing both whistle-blowers. The lawyers said their new client, whose identity is not known, had grown alarmed by the president’s behaviour and was among those interviewed to corroborate the allegations of the first whistle-blower.

eurusd

Will CAD Slip to Fresh Lows? 

The Canadian dollar is rounding up the week with unemployment numbers and might show another bearish round, especially with as oil prices continue to dip lower. Oil prices extended last week’s heavy losses, with traders fearing the global economic slowdown will weigh on future oil demand growth while pegging hopes for a rebound on progress in talks this week on ending the U.S.-China trade war.

Author

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.