|

What's the influence of weak eurozone economic data?

The dollar index rebounded to the 98 level, mainly due to the euro under pressure to the downside, below support at around 97.60, above pressure at 98.50.

fxsoriginal

EUR/USD

Weak economic data from the euro zone showed that the bloc's gross domestic product barely grew in the second quarter, with economies across the bloc losing momentum, with Germany, its largest economy, shrinking amid slowing global growth. Trade conflicts and uncertainty over its exit from the bloc. The upper pressure is around 1.1180 and the lower support is at the line of 1.1100.

fxsoriginal

USD/JPY

The yen's appeal to investors is huge. Adding to the risk aversion was the fact that U.S. yields on two-year and 10-year Treasury notes fell upside down for the first time since 2007, often interpreted as a sign of impending recession.

USD/JPY fell again to below 106. The below short-term support is at 105.50, another below support is at 105.00. The above short-term pressure is at 106.50,and  above pressure is at 107.00.

fxsoriginal

XAU/USD

Risk aversion has returned, with the US Treasury yield curve inverted for the first time since the us subprime crisis intensified in 2007, suggesting the world's largest economy could slip into recession. A sharp drop in U.S. stocks also boosted safe-haven demand for gold, with the Dow Jones industrial average ending down more than 800 points on Wednesday.

The gold price oscillates upward again to 1520, the previous high is in 1535 line. The below support is in 1500, and then below support is in 1490.

fxsoriginal

USO/USD

A second week of unexpected increases in U.S. crude inventories added to the pressure on oil markets. Data from the U.S. energy information administration on Wednesday showed U.S. crude oil inventories unexpectedly rose for a second straight week last week as refinery output fell and refined oil inventories unexpectedly fell, with gasoline demand hitting a record high. After the release of inventory data, oil market selling pressure increased.

U.S. crude oil tumbled nearly 4 percent to the 54 line and now trades around 55, with the upper pressure around 56. The lower short-term support is at 54 and the lower support is at 52.

fxsoriginal

PS:  Today Focus

16:30 monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment in July (%)

20:30 Initial jobless claims for the week ended August 10 (10,000)

20:30 Monthly retail sales rate in July (%)

21:15 monthly rate of U.S. industrial output in July (%)

Author

Ray Shen

Ray Shen

CPT Markets

Graduated from Canada TRU university of finance department, national golden trader; Engaged in financial industry for more than 10 years; Served as a staff writer of many networks, magazines and media; Invited as guest lecturer fo

More from Ray Shen
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1850 ahead of EU/ US data

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with modest US Dollar demand undermines the pair ahead of the Eurozone GDP second estimate and the critical US CPI data. 

GBP/USD keeps losses around 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD holds moderate losses at around 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday. 

Gold trims intraday gains to $5,000 as US inflation data loom

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.