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Weekly column: Market disruption and the Sun's revolutionary dance

Review

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are limping toward a painful weekly loss, fueled by investors’ retreat from riskier and more speculative trades. The largest cryptocurrency is now down about 7% for the week and trading more than 20% below its all-time high of above $126,000, touched on Oct. 6. Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency, has fallen nearly 8% for the week to around $3,200. Crypto stocks were also hit hard. Strategy, the bitcoin-accumulation firm run by Michael Saylor, has fallen nearly 15% this week. The company’s market cap briefly slipped below the value of its bitcoin holdings on Thursday, raising questions about the sustainability of similar bitcoin treasury companies.

Vicky Ge Huang, “Bitcoin Ends Week In a Slump,” The Wall Street Journal, November 14, 2025.

Gold and silver futures are sinking along with speculative technology stocks, bitcoin, and other of Wall Street’s most crowded trades.

Markets & Finance, “Gold Slides Amid Selloff, Lower December Fed Rate-Cut Expectations,” The Wall Street Journal, November 14, 2025.

The Trump administration plans to remove tariffs on certain goods from four Latin American countries that are not produced in the U.S. The planned tariff relief aims to address high food prices and reduce grocery bills for consumers at home.

 Seeking Alpha, “Easing Prices,” Wall Street Breakfast, www.seekingalpha.com, November 14, 2025.

Eliminating tariffs is a great idea (and a bad policy IMHO, unless this was the plan all along), but it may be too little too late. Or it may be just what the markets need to embark upon another powerful rally to new all-time highs as we head into the bullish seasonal holiday period of the year.

Not only the stock market, but commodities and crypto markets could also use some good news after last week’s drubbing, which coincided with the return of “The Trickster” (Mercury retrograde) on November 9. Mercury retrograde will probably bring more chaos until its current term ends on November 29. This is usually a time when matters don’t go precisely as planned, due to lack of sufficient information and data to make an intelligent decision, combined with a tendency to make mistakes (like pressing the “buy” button when you meant to “sell” those crypto and metals’ positions, or agreeing to end a government shutdown when you got next to nothing in return other than a non-binding promise by other politicians).

Stock markets around the world looked good until Wednesday and Thursday. Several were making new all-time highs, like the DJIA, London FTSE, and Brazil’s Bovespa. China’s Shanghai Composite made a new 10-year high. Others made secondary highs on Wednesday and Thursday just as the Moon entered the discerning sign of Virgo, one of the signs that rules Mercury. Then the Trickster went to work. Fears of an AI bubble bursting erupted, and the mood turned sour on Friday. Several indices fell to new multi-week lows quickly, and it now looks like the primary cycle crest for this period is in.

Gold and Silver fared poorly too, as it looks like a liquidity crisis and/or a margin call scare is unfolding. Silver soared to a new all-time high on Thursday, just as forecasted in our “X” posting (@mmacycles) given earlier in the week. After reaching 54.42, it fell below 50.00 on Friday. Gold made a secondary high (but not a new ATH) of 4250 on Thursday. On Friday, it fell as low as 4032. This appears to be the next leg down into the 31.3-month cycle lows by January s I called for it in last week’s monthly and weekly MMA Cycles Reports.

Fear was also rampant in cryptoland. Bitcoin fell to 94,000 on Friday, its lowest mark in six months. Here, too, our call for the ATH in October seems to be working well. This looks like the start of the downside to the 4-year cycle trough as projected in our recent webinars and special update reports. But wait. This might just be the Trickster doing what it does best – confusing investors with alarms. We already see what our dear Gemini leader is doing in response, just as Chinese leaders predicted he would do if the stock markets started to fall. Many of his unilaterally decreed tariffs are suddenly ending—for now.

Short-term geocosmics and longer-term thoughts

Next year will define the new world order because 2025 demolished the old one.

—Zanny Minton Beddoes, “How 2026 Will Shape the Next Decade,” The Economist, November 14, 2025.

 The first coin of the realm reached its last moment. The U.S. Mint struck the final five U.S. pennies Wednesday afternoon, ending the country’s 232-year history of making one-cent pieces.

Richard Rubin, “After 232 Years, U.S. Is Down to the Last Penny,” Wall Street Journal, November 13, 2025.

“A nickel ain’t worth a dime anymore.”

Yogi Berra.

The currency world is changing rapidly. A penny may soon be worth a lot more for collectors, while a nickel still isn’t worth a dime, but a bitcoin – which once traded at one cent (a penny) 15 years ago – is now worth almost $100,000. And don’t get me started on baseball cards or athletic sneakers. Uranus (disruption) in Taurus (money and values) in the past seven years has made a bit of a mess over the worth of articles and coins.

But have no fear: the Trump administration is going to eliminate tariffs on bananas (with banana republics) so everyone can still afford to eat. It may be a start to an end of a very controversial policy that angered a lot of allies (who weren’t banana republics), disrupted efficient world trade routes, and showed no real economic gains for anyone (except the U.S. Treasury and now some banana republics), unless this was the end game to begin with that (almost) no one ever knew about. I just wish they would have applied such unsustainably high tariffs on potatoes and white socks.

However, everyone is beginning to see what the cosmos has been signaling since the “New Aira” began with the Jupiter-Saturn conjunction in 0° Aquarius on December 21, 2020. It just took until the new and even more remarkable “Aries Vortex” of 2025-2026 to realize that the world is changing. The old world order and its traditions (Saturn) are dissolving (Neptune), and a new world order (Aries world point) is being born. And the birthing process can be painful, dangerous, and exciting.

The excitement may be on full display in the cosmos these next two weeks as first the Sun, and then Venus, will enter into a grand water trine with Jupiter and the Saturn-Neptune conjunction, while at the same time forming a powerful rectangle formation with their opposition to Uranus. It is not only exciting (Uranus) but also probably leading to another bout of economic disruption and market chaos. Perhaps economic data reports will unexpectedly be released, and if so, the news will be surprising.

The Sun begins this wild dance next week, November 17–21, just as it leaves the dark, mysterious, and unknown realms of Scorpio (where little economic data was released because of the shutdown) for the revolutionary and freedom-loving sign of Sagittarius. The following week, Venus repeats the same steps but with its own flair for both starting new friendships and exploding established ones. This social swinging may be reflected in steep price gyrations of various financial markets, then, too, for Uranus is both a breakout and reversal signature. It rules extremes, especially with Sagittarius approaching as a backdrop for the planets. And all this ends with a thud around November 30, just two days after Saturn turns stationary direct and only one day after the Trickster (false breakouts) starts its own hibernation ritual for the next three months.

November will not likely go out with a whimper. Traders who are nimble can have a field day with an abundance of short-term trading opportunities suggested by these stellar movements. It would be a fine time to see the culmination of several primary cycles.

Author

Raymond Merriman, CTA

Raymond Merriman, CTA

The Merriman Market Analyst

Raymond A. Merriman is the President of the Merriman Market Analyst, Inc and founder of the Merriman Market Timing Academy.

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