|

Weaker Dollar and positive risk sentiment – What's next?

Important News for the day

  • Tue, 18th, 13:30 CET CA Consumer prices index.

FT forecast

According to a forecast conducted by the Financial Times among a few dozen economists in regards to newly added tariffs and the downsizing of the government workforce the US economy will be affected further. Nearly all respondents stated that growth would be negatively impacted as consumer spending will be reduced. Furthermore the spending from companies will be scaled back and hence might cause a downturn. The expansion of the economy is hence expected to only reach 1.6% compared to the 2.3% previously. Currently equity markets are continuing their uptrend, which might continue, unless last week’s lows are broken.

Market talk

The weakness of the Dollar continues to support markets. Not only are precious metals rising further and with their breakout higher might remain positive for the week but also oil has been rising on top of the important support area. Today’s momentum might come during the American trading session. The consumer prices data from Canada might cause the Loonie to move and potentially rising prices could help supporting the CAD. The EURCAD might weaken and in particular the USDCAD, which had lost some steam, might move towards the 1.4160 zone.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities recovering, USD weak, cryptos weak, oil positive, Silver positive, Gold positive, JPY weak.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.1750 after weak German and EU PMI data

EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. Weaker-than-expected December PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone make it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while investors refrain from taking large USD positions ahead of key employment data.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3400 after upbeat UK PMI data

GBP/USD gains traction and trades in positive territory above 1.3400 on Tuesday as the British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data. Later in the day, crucial data releases from the US, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales and PMI, could trigger the next big action in the pair.

Gold retreats from seven week highs on profit-taking; all eyes on US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.