USDJPY: Shows hesitation at 111.00 pivot

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

USD/JPY

The pair is probing above 111.00 barrier again after falling to 110.71 in early Asia. Near-term action remains supported by 200SMA for the second day, which underpins for renewed upside attempts, following Friday’s upside rejection.
On the other side, Doji candle with long upper shadow which was left on Friday after recovery extension was capped by daily Kijun-sen at 111.41, weighs on near-term action. Repeated scenario today would signal strong hesitation at pivotal 110.93 barrier (Fibo 38.2% of 114.36/108.80 downleg) and increase downside risk. Overbought slow stochastic on daily chart supports the notion and may put the pair under fresh pressure on bearish signal on reversal.
Such scenario requires close below 200SMA (20/200SMA death cross is also forming) to signal top and open way for fresh downside.
Conversely, sustained break above 110.93/111.00 (Fibo 38.2% / 55SMA) would signal fresh upside which requires break through falling Kijun-sen (111.32) for extension towards 111.85 barrier (100SMA).

Res: 111.00; 111.32; 111.41; 111.85
Sup: 110.71; 110.41; 110.11; 109.80

nterested in USDJPY technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 111.34
2. R2 111.17
3. R1 111.07
PP 110.91
1. S1 110.81
2. S2 110.65
3. S3 110.55

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD hovers around nine-day EMA above 1.1800

EUR/USD remains in the positive territory after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1820 during the Asian hours on Monday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 54 is edging higher, signaling improving momentum. RSI near mid-50s keeps momentum balanced. A sustained push above 60 would firm bullish control.

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback.

Gold sticks to gains above $5,000 as China's buying and Fed rate-cut bets drive demand

Gold surges past the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Monday in reaction to the weekend data, showing that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Japan's Takaichi secures historic victory in snap election

In Japan, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's coalition secured a supermajority in the lower house, winning 328 out of 465 seats following a rare winter snap election. This provides her with a strong mandate to advance her legislative agenda.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.