|

USD rally continuing but at key levels – Focus on USD and CAD employment data [Video]

Welcome to today’s Market Blast.

Today we will take a look at Forex Trading on USD Index, EURUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF and the NASDAQ.

Last time, we wondered if the Russell 2000 would catch up with the other indices.

This time, the opposite was true with the other major indices, like the NASDAQ, falling.

In our next video, we will take a look at why and if we should buy the dip.

Youtube preview

We see the recent rally in USD continuing based on US Bond yields, inflation fears, and the Fed putting rate reductions on hold.

So, will we see a reversal any time soon?

If we see a change in the fundamentals, like US bond yields, lower inflation, the Iran war, we may see that reversal, so keep an eye on the news.

If we look at USDCHF, we see price at 0.79, which is a key level which has held many times all the way back to Jul of 2025.

On USDCAD, we see a similar key level at $1.39.

We have been watching the rise of NZD based on a potential interest rate rise, but the strength of USD won out, with price action falling seriously, creating a lower trend line, with an oversold stochastic oscillator.

We see a similar story with AUD/USD, which is in an uptrend.

If we look at the daily chart on AUD/USD, we can see just how strong AUD has been since last November.

Again, EUR/USD is at a key level of $1.60, which has held many times.

On USD/JPY, we are approaching a key level of 160 yen.

So, two important takeaways here:

Firstly, we see how key levels repeat and hold very often.

And, just as importantly, you will note that these key levels are almost always round numbers, like 160 yen, $1.39, etc., etc.

But tomorrow is a critical day with the US Non-Farm payrolls, which will give the Fed some clues on the direction of the US economy and future interest rates, and therefore, the value of USD.

Also, we will see Canadian employment data, so watch for volatility on CAD pairs, especially USDCAD, where we see mixed strength and weakness.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA, rises toward $4,500

Gold is attempting a tepid recovery toward $4,500 on Thursday, as renewed optimism in the Mideast geopolitical front calms market nerves. This cautious optimism across Asian markets weighs on Oil prices, and diminishes the US Dollar’s safe-haven appeal, helping Gold stage a decent comeback from the weekly low of $4,424.

 

Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.