|

USD/JPY: There is a real prospect of a recovery gathering pace [Video]

USD/JPY

A broad risk positive bias (which drove Treasury yields higher) meant that Dollar/Yen was strong yesterday. This has now driven a two week closing high and the market above 106.00. It means that the 106.00/106.60 resistance band is now being breached this morning to generate traction in the technical rally. A close above 106.60 would be a strong signal that the bulls are really gaining confidence for a recovery. Yesterday seemed to be a session in which sentiment shifted. Looking at the momentum indicators there is a real prospect of a recovery gathering pace now. RSI is rising into the 50s and Stochastics rising off a “bull kiss”, whilst MACD lines are also accelerating off a cross higher. A close above 106.60 would open 107.50 as the next resistance, which would be the test for a real game changer. For now this is still just an unwind into resistance, but if 107.50 can be breached as a lower high, then the whole trend set up would have changed. How the market responds to 106.45 (breakout above last week’s high) will also now become a key near term gauge. A break back under 106.00 would be disappointing now, with support at 105.30 becoming a key higher low.

USDJPY

Author

Richard Perry

Richard Perry

Independent Analyst

More from Richard Perry
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.