|

USD/JPY: the key resistance at 109.70 has come under scrutiny again

USD/JPY

The bull swing higher that came in the wake of the dialling down of geopolitical tensions has been running out of steam as the key resistance at 109.70 has come under scrutiny again. This seems to be a key moment as consistently over recent months we have seen resistance levels tested and even if breached, only manage to do so on an initial break basis. Subsequent consolidation has followed a break only to then retrace. Into Monday morning, the bulls are still looking well set for now, but momentum indicators are pulling higher towards key ranging levels again. The RSI has tended to come a cropper around the 60/65 mark, whilst Stochastics struggle just as they get towards 80 (around where they are now). It is for this reason, we would view any prospective break above 109.70 with caution. Initial resistance would then be at 109.90 before 110.65, however beware the often seen retracement. Initial support at 109.00/109.20.

USDJPY

Author

Richard Perry

Richard Perry

Independent Analyst

Richard Perry, Independent Market Analyst, has over 20 years of experience working in financial markets in London.

More from Richard Perry
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.