|premium|

USD/JPY Forecast: Rally continues amid appetite for the greenback

USD/JPY Current price: 105.46

  • The Japanese economy is showing signs of a turnaround, according to BOJ’s Kuroda.
  • US Treasury yields remained mute amid growth concerns and coronavirus vaccine’s hopes.
  • USD/JPY holding on to gains and could rally up to 106.26 during the upcoming sessions.

The USD/JPY has advanced for a third consecutive day, reaching a weekly high of 105.48. As it has been happening since the week started, is all about demand for the greenback. The pair held on to gains by the end of the day, despite the sour tone of Wall Street. US Treasury yields, in the meantime, remained within familiar levels, trapped between concerns about economic growth and optimism related to a coronavirus vaccine, as Johnson & Johnson became the fourth company to start a phase three testing.

In the data front, Japan published at the beginning of the day the preliminary September Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI, which came in at 47.3 as expected, improving modestly from 47.2 in August. The country also published the July All Industry Activity Index, which was up 1.3%, missing expectations of 3.3%. Also, BOJ’s Kuroda offered a speech and said that the local economy is showing signs of a turnaround, adding that the central bank may extend the deadline for aid to pandemic-hit firms. During the upcoming Asian session, the BOJ will release the Minutes of its latest meeting.

USD/JPY short-term technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair has extended its rally to reach the 61.8% retracement of its latest daily decline around 105.40. The 4-hour chart shows that the pair further advanced above a now bullish 20 SMA, while the larger ones have lost their bearish strength, standing above the current level. Technical indicators, in the meantime, reached overbought readings, retreating just modestly ahead of the close. The rally will likely continue on a break above the mentioned daily high.

Support levels: 104.85 104.50 104.00

Resistance levels: 105.60 105.95 106.25

 View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates around 1.0900, bullish bias remains ahead of key US data

The EUR/USD pair is seen consolidating its strong gains registered over the past two days and oscillating in a narrow band during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1900 mark, just below an over one-week high touched the previous day.

GBP/USD tilts bullish as markets barrel toward mid-week NFP print

GBP/USD is holding a broader bullish structure on the daily chart, with price trading well above the 50 Exponential Moving Average at 1.3507 and the 200 EMA at 1.3310, confirming the intermediate uptrend that has been in place since the November 2025 low near 1.2300. 

Gold: Will US Retail Sales data propel it above $5,100?

Gold hovers below weekly highs of $5,087 early Tuesday, await US Retail Sales data. The US Dollar enters a downside consolidation phase amid persistent Japanese Yen strength and worsening labor market. Gold settled Monday above $5,000, now looks to take out $5,100 amid bullish daily RSI.

Top Crypto Gainers: World Liberty Financial, MemeCore and Quant gain momentum

World Liberty Financial, MemeCore, and Quant are leading gains over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market stabilizes after last week’s correction. Still, the technical outlook for altcoins remains mixed due to prevailing downside pressure and vulnerable market sentiment. 

The market is buying everything again but is it dancing on a borrowed floor

The market has a short memory and a fast trigger finger. Last week’s liquidation barely cooled before risk came roaring back, pushing the S&P toward record territory and reinstalling Big Tech as the engine of choice. This is not discovery. It is re exposure.

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.