|

USD/JPY Forecast: Holding ground, risk skewed to the upside

 USD/JPY Current price: 107.74

  • The market’s sentiment is upbeat amid EU Commission’s announcement of a recovery fund.
  • USD/JPY gaining bullish strength, but still below the 108.00/10 resistance area.

The USD/JPY pair continues to trade within familiar levels, now hovering around 107.70. The market sentiment stabilized throughout the Asian session but picked up in Europe, as the EU Commission is proposing a 750 million euro recovery fund, to be presented by President Ursula von de Leyen in the European Parliament.  Appetite for riskier assets persists in detriment of USD/JPY.

It’s a quiet day in the data front, and Japan didn’t release macroeconomic data, while the US one will only include minor figures, including the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for May, foreseen at -47 from -53 in the previous month.

USD/JPY short-term technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair retains its neutral stance with a mildly bullish bias, as, in the 4-hour chart, the pair is developing above all of its moving averages, crossing above the 20 SMA. Technical indicators, in the meantime, turned marginally higher around their mid-lines, although lacking sufficient strength to confirm a new leg north. The main resistance continues to be the 108.10 area, with bulls becoming more confident on a break above it.

Support levels: 107.30 106.90 106.65

Resistance levels: 108.10 108.45 108.80

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD continues its rise as Dollar retreats on Fed action and soft data

EUR/USD advances during the North American on Thursday up 0.41% after the Fed decided to cut rates, alongside the release of weaker than expected job data in the United States. The pair trades at 1.1742 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1682.

GBP/USD steadies at fresh near-term highs

GBP/USD is holding firmly in bullish territory heading into the tail end of the week, but Cable bidders ran into a technical resistance point at the 1.3400 handle on Thursday. The Federal Reserve delivered a third straight interest rate cut this week, bolstering broad-market risk appetite and pushing the US Dollar into the low side across the board.

Gold remains poised to regain $4,300 and beyond

Gold sits at seven-week highs after having settled above $4,275 key resistance on Thursday. US Dollar sees a modest rebound amid profit-taking following the two-day Fed-led slump. Gold’s daily technical setup suggests that there is scope for more upside.

Top Crypto Gainers: Zcash, MYX Finance, MemeCore extend gains as market recovers

Zcash, MYX Finance, and MemeCore lead the cryptocurrency market recovery with double-digit gains over the last 24 hours. The technical outlook for Zcash and MemeCore suggests upside potential, while the MYX Finance token remains trapped between converging moving averages. 

FOMC Summary: A split cut and a clear shift toward caution

The Federal Reserve (Fed) went ahead with a 25 basis points rate cut, taking the target range to 3.50–3.75%. But the tone around the decision mattered just as much as the move.

Solana dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment
Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.