|

USD/JPY analysis: retest of 112.00 region becomes more likely

USD/JPY Current price: 113.08

  • USD/JPY upward momentum eases, but a leg lower needs confirmation.
  • Data-light Tuesday will likely see the pair following the lead of US T-yields.

The USD/JPY ended the day unchanged from Friday's close after briefly surpassing last week's high to reach 113.38.  The pair fell down to 112.87, following an intraday slide in US Treasury yields, but managed to bounce back alongside with them in US trading hours. The absence of relevant news coming from Japan and the US help to keep the pair within range. Japan will come back after a long holiday with a couple of minor releases, with December consumer confidence being the most relevant, expected at 45.1 from previous 44.9. The US calendar will have nothing relevant to offer, beyond a speech from Fed's Kashkari. The 4 hours chart shows that bulls have lost the grip, at least temporarily, as technical indicators turned lower with the Momentum heading modestly lower within positive territory, and the RSI aiming to regain the upside after correcting overbought conditions, currently at 55. In the mentioned chart, the pair bounced from a flat 100 SMA, providing now an immediate dynamic support that once broken, should lead to a decline towards the 112.10 price zone.

Support levels: 112.90 112.60 112.10

Resistance levels: 113.40 113.75 114.10

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.