US-Japan deal 'boosts equity markets' globally but USD trades flat

The dollar sold-off against most currencies yesterday. While we largely attribute this to market jitters ahead of the pending tariffs deadline, a hangover from Fed independence concerns may also be partly at play.
News of the US-Japan deal has boosted equity markets globally, but the yen has found gains harder to come by, probably a result of the weekend’s upper house election, which has acted to dampen expectations for Bank of Japan rate hikes.
Meanwhile, the dollar has traded largely flat against its major peers since the breaking of the news, possibly as market participants await details on the state of negotiations elsewhere before committing to sizable positions.
Macroeconomic news out this week will be almost entirely overlooked in favour of trade developments. Tomorrow’s jobless claims and business activity PMI figures could receive some attention, but in reality we don’t expect much reaction in the dollar.
Author

Matthew Ryan, CFA
Ebury
Matthew is Global Head of Market Strategy at FX specialist Ebury, where he has been part of the strategy team since 2014. He provides fundamental FX analysis for a wide range of G10 and emerging market currencies.

















