US Dollar Index outlook: Dollar remains inflated by risk aversion on Delta variant spread

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

US Dollar Index

Dollar remains inflated by risk aversion on Delta variant spread US DOLLAR INDEX The dollar remains steady in early Tuesday’s trading and retested new 3 – 1/2 month high (93.03), posted after bullish acceleration on Monday.

The global spread of the highly contagious Delta variant of coronavirus raised fears of a pandemic resurgence and prompted investors into safety that lifted the greenback.

Technical studies on the daily chart are supportive for further advance (20-d Bollinger bands expand, moving averages are in full bullish setup and momentum studies are overall positive), but overbought stochastic suggests bulls may take a breather before pushing towards the next target at 93.45 (2021 high posted on Mar 31).

Broken Fibo 76.4% level (92.52) reverted to the solid support, reinforced by rising 10DMA and expected to ideally contain dips.

Only return and close below ascending 20DMA (92.32) would question larger bulls and soften the near-term structure.

Res: 93.03; 93.11; 93.45; 94.00.
Sup: 92.79; 92.52; 92.32; 92.06.

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.