|

US consumer in retreat, Wall Street disconnect is severe

US retail sales collapse

Consumer sentiment at 10-year lows

What is not clear here?

The real US economy is in dire straits.

While Wall Street talks everything up?

US retail sales collapse

Are they tipping over to lockdown levels again?

US consumer sentiment

Back at GFC levels. This is a disaster.

China new home prices

The game is up. No more get rich quick and easy.

Property investors will have to roll up their sleeves and work a lot harder from now on. Permanently.

Germany rebounds

Though only a partial rebound and Germany is again beset my a fresh Covid wave. Nonetheless, the tortoise that is Europe is returning to some form of new normal.

US500  daily chart

This is the deer caught in headlights stuff. The market is frozen just for a moment, before I believe, yes, you guessed it, a resumption of downward pressure. Wall Street bullish sentiment has no basis in Main Street reality.

AUS200 daily chart

Australian market is in all kinds of trouble even if it hasn't figured out the local reality yet. Seeing very sharp declines ahead.

Australian dollar daily chart

Looking particularly dangerous as all of the past month has been merely a consolidation phase before the overall macro-downtrend resumes toward 65 cents.

All the best.

Author

Clifford Bennett

Clifford Bennett

Independent Analyst

With over 35 years of economic and market trading experience, Clifford Bennett (aka Big Call Bennett) is an internationally renowned predictor of the global financial markets, earning titles such as the “World’s most a

More from Clifford Bennett
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.