|

Trading the NZD crash – Going short on EUR/CHF? [Video]

Yesterday we looked at EURCHF from the fundamental side so don’t forget about the Swiss National Bank Interest Rate decision Thursday. 

From the technical side we see clear indications that the pair has started a downtrend in that we have lower highs and lower lows in this bearish trend.

The Stochastic Oscillator is giving us bearish signals and MACD has passed from overbought to oversold.

Last night the New Zealand Dollar crashed based on the NZ government’s curbs on the housing market.

Finding technical opportunities might be difficult in these situations but what we look for are moves in price action against the trend.

For example, this clear downtrend on EURNZD daily chart was broken so we will look for an opportunity to sell EURNZD.

On the 4-hour chart, we are at resistance at $1.685 and we can wait for a bounce off resistance, and for the Stochastic Oscillator to show us some bearish signals, which it is not doing now.

When we see a downturn here, we can reevaluate.

Gold bounced off long-term support days ago and is showing us that the downtrend might be continuing.

Price has bounced off resistance and the Stochastic Oscillator has crossed from overbought to oversold so it might be time to look at an XAUUSD short again.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.