|

Trading long USD/CAD – New Zealand and Canadian interest rates in focus [Video]

I’m Brad Alexander and in this week’s Market Blast Fundamentals let’s take a look at the DJIA (US30), WTI (USOil), NZDUSD and USDCAD. 

We’ve mentioned many times about Canadian and US employment figures being released at the same time.

Last Friday we had a US Non-Farm Payroll report that was lower than expected and a Canadian Employment Change that was better than expected.

These had double the effect on USDCAD and they drove price action into the lower range of the trend, creating an opportunity to enter a position in the direction of the current trend.

Please confirm the trade with your favourite technical indicators and be aware that we have a Canadian Interest Rate Decision due on Wednesday from Ottawa, followed by the usual press conference.

Analysts are predicting a 0.5% increase.

As well, we have an Interest Rate Decision from New Zealand where no change is predicted.

“No Change” often gives us an opportunity as there is almost always volatility.

Overall, we see mixed strength and weakness in NZD pairs so we will have plenty of chances to trade with the trend if the news drives price action in the opposite direction.

The CAD is showing us weakness now, contrary to the strength that we saw in previous weeks.

This is actually curious as the price of WTI is rising.

However, it looks like a ranging market and we will look at this from the technical side tomorrow.

Since the beginning of the month, the US Indices have been falling dramatically, probably from a sell-off at resistance.

On the DJIA we can see this obvious technical pattern forming and we will look at this from the technical side tomorrow.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1800 ahead of US data, Fedspeak

EUR/USD remains trapped in a tight range below 1.1800 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair struggles amid a modest US Dollar strength and an improvement in risk sentiment, even as US tariff uncertainty lingers. The focus now remains on the US data and Fedspeak. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3500 as USD firms up

GBP/USD stays on the back foot below 1.3500 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The pair declines as the US Dollar rebounds from losses recorded over the previous two sessions. Traders will focus on the US weekly ADP Employment Change and Consumer Confidence data due later in the day, along with speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Gold holds pullback below $5,200 amid USD uptick

Gold holds moderate losses below $5,200 in European trading on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through selling. Following the previous day's knee-jerk fall in reaction to US President Donald Trump's new global tariffs and the subsequent bounce, the US Dollar attracts fresh buyers ahead of mid-tier data and Fedspeak. 

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.