|

This weekend Austrians and Italians go to the polling booth

  • European stock markets lose 0.5% to 1%, catching up with the US and Asia. US equity markets open nearly unchanged, in line with major currency and rate markets following mixed payrolls.

  • November US payrolls printed very close to expectations at 178k (vs 180k expected). The previous two month's figure went through a marginal downward revision (‐2k). The unemployment rate surprisingly fell from 4.9% to 4.6%, the lowest level since 2007, but average hourly earnings disappointed (‐0.1% M/M, 2.5% J/J).

  • Construction activity in the U.K. grew at the fastest pace in eight months in November, but companies warned that rising costs are squeezing their profit margins. IHS Markit said its headline construction PMI rose to 52.8 from 52.6 in October. That's the highest since March, though it's still below the average of the past two years.

  • The Trump transition team is examining proposals for US sanctions on Iran separate from its nuclear programme in a move likely to draw a furious reaction from Tehran. They could include measures that focus on Iran's ballistic missile programme or its human rights record, say congressional sources.

  • Turkish President Erdogan renewed calls for lower interest rates to spur investments, and called on Turks to stop hoarding dollars and to support the lira. The Turkish currency sank to a record low with EUR/TRY hitting the 3.80 mark.

  • BoE chief economist Haldane said it would be risky to raise interest rates too hastily and that he was comfortable with the BoE's recently adopted neutral stance on the future direction of monetary policy.

  • This weekend Austrians and Italians go to the polling booth. The replay of the second round of the Austrian presidential election will be a toss‐up between the far left and far right candidate. Italian PM Renzi tide his faith to a referendum on Senate reform and will likely lose the vote which could topple Italy in a new political crisis.

Author

More from KBC Market Research Desk
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.