|

The pound in free fall amid Brexit deal negotiations taking painstaking turn

On 8 September, GBP/USD lost 1.36% or 179 points, owing to the sudden crisis in the Brexit deal talks. With the rumors about the changes made to the Internal Market Bill circulating on the sidelines of Brexit talks on September 7th, it became publicly known that the Boris Johnson Conservative U.K. government was going to issue a new edition of the Internal Market Bill as a backup plan reserved for a no-deal Brexit on Wednesday, September 9th. The British government has even acknowledged that these changes "break international law in a very specific and limited way." In response, the EU threatened the U.K. with trade sanctions in case the new agreement was not withdrawn.

In response to such grim prospects in Brexit talks, GBP/USD continued slipping down through Thursday, 10 September, having fallen as low as 1.2773. With little economic data coming from the U.K. this week, there is limited positivity for sterling to count on; therefore, a further decline to 1.2689 is the likeliest near-term target.

As of the start of Friday's trading day, GBP/USD recovered some of its Thursday's losses, climbing as high as 1.2763, but then lost most of the gains and descended to 1.2725. On Thursday the pair lost 1.52% or 228 points, which is the largest loss since the 19th of March.

The Brexit deal is currently the main focus in the GBP/USD market and will continue to be the most important factor in the pricing of the pair at least until October 15th, which is the last day set by Boris Johnson for signing a trade deal. If the deal is not signed by then, the pound could see further losses against the greenback and other major currencies.

Author

Konstantin Anissimov

Konstantin is a businessman with skills in corporate governance, strategic management, customer relations, partnership negotiations and international sales. Graduated the Executive MBA program at the University of Cambridge.

More from Konstantin Anissimov
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak near 1.1650 ahead of critical US events

EUR/USD stays in the red near 1.1650 in the European trading hours on Friday. The pair remains undermined by broad US Dollar strength and a cautious market mood. Traders keenly await the US Nonfarm Payrolls data and Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariff powers for further direction. 

GBP/USD holds lower ground below 1.3450, with eyes on US data

GBP/USD remains subdued for the fourth consecutive day, while trading below 1.3450 in the European session on Friday. Markets remain in a wait-and-see mode before the key US event risks and prefer to hold the US Dollar, which weighs negatively on the pair. The US monthly jobs data and the Supreme Court decision on tariffs are awaited. 

Gold flat lines around $4,475; looks to US NFP report for fresh impetus

Gold reverses a modest intraday dip to the $4,453 area, and trades near the top end of its daily range heading into the European session. The upside, however, seems limited as traders might opt to wait for the US Nonfarm Payrolls report later today. The crucial employment details will be looked upon for more cues about the Federal Reserve's rate-cut path.

Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show US labor market remained weak in December

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Nonfarm Payrolls data for December on Friday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 60,000 in December following the 64,000 increase recorded in November.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pepe Price Forecast: PEPE risks 100-day EMA fallout as bullish interest fades

Pepe is under extreme selling pressure, trading in the red for the fifth consecutive day, down 1% at press time on Friday. Pepe’s decline following a 72% hike last week suggests a likely profit-booking phase, while on-chain data indicates declining network activity.