|

Stocks rallied to new short-term highs against bonds

Confirming Evidence of a continued rally:

  • The ECRI Weekly Leading Index (WLI) picked up again last week and continues to rebound. It is now positive year over year.

  • Stocks rallied to new short-term highs against bonds.

  • US stocks are in a positive trend relative to Gold (intermediate).

  • The Yen and the Dollar weakened last week.

  • The VIX made a short-term low.

  • Transports broke above resistance.

Non-Confirming evidence of a continued rally:

  • The ECRI four week average is still negative year over year.

  • The Total World Stock Market remains in a negative trend relative to bonds(intermediate).

  • Lumber has been weak and is continuing to drop significantly.

  • Small Caps are below their December low relative to Large Caps.

  • Copper failed to break to new short-term highs.

  • Treasury yields remain in a strong negative trend.

  • The Dollar remains in a positive trend.

  • Quality remains a strong factor.

Download The Full Market Outlook

Author

More from Clint Sorenson, CFA, CMT
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks sidelined around 1.1850

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, extending its bearish tone and sliding towards the 1.1850 area to print fresh daily lows on Monday. The move lower comes as the US Dollar gathers modest traction, with thin liquidity and subdued volatility amplifying price swings amid the US market holiday.

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold loses momentum, eases below $5,000

Gold is giving back part of Friday’s sharp rebound, deflating below the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce as the new week gets underway. Modest gains in the US Dollar are keeping the metal in check, while thin trading conditions, due to the Presidents Day holiday in the US, are adding to the choppy and hesitant tone across markets.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.