Stock Index Service–Eurostoxx 50 – Xetra Dax 30

Can You Spot the EXPANDING FLAT Pattern?

Wow! – it’s been a really busy summer!! – but very profitable too! Although attention is usually focused on the major U.S. indices like the S&P 500, even if you don’t trade positively-correlated indices from other countries, we always advise analysing them as if you were.

A good example was how two European indices, the Eurostoxx 50 and Xetra Dax 30 played out from May’s highs into August’s lows. Back in May/June, our Elliott Wave Navigator and Elliott Wave Compass reports had identified a corrective pattern unfolding from the May’s highs, as a developing 2nd wave correction. Can you spot what pattern that is? – Yes, an expanding flat!

The expanding flat is a three wave sequence, A-B-C subdividing 3-3-5. For the Eurostoxx 50, (A)-(B)-(C) where wave (A) sets the initial price-range – to fulfil the pattern, waves (B) and (C) must marginally complete beyond wave (A)’s range whilst unfolding into a three and five wave sequence. If those conditions, those requirements are met, then the pattern can complete and is validated at predetermined fib-price-ratio levels – see figs #1 & #2.

Basis charts in report/s dt. June 26th, wave (B) upside targets for the Eurostoxx 50 were towards 3530.00+/-, to max. 3559.00+/- then a five wave impulse decline to begin declines as wave (C) towards 3210.00+/-. The actual high for wave (B) was 3569.00 and the low for (C) at 3231.00.

The Xetra Dax had minor wave b. upside targets towards 12602.00+/-, max. 12821.00+/- then a five wave impulse decline to begin declines as wave c. towards 11399.00+/-. The actual high for wave b. was 12650.00 and the low for c. at 11257.00.

Conclusion

The completion of these expanding flat patterns was also replicated in London’s FTSE-100 index. Moreover, it gave validation that other major indices, like the benchmark S&P 500 would also stage a reversal-upswing in August, despite unfolding into a slightly different corrective pattern. This affirms our belief that trading a set of indices should be supported by analysing other related groups too! 

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