|

Rising SPY and shoring up treasuries

S&P  500 first rejected 5,240, and got through only on the opening bell buying in the runup to the Bessent speech. Stating the obvious about China tariff unsustainability, and without nay negotiations even having started, markets ran on the news, and didn‘t break back below 5,240 even when it became obvious no negotiations were underway.

India and Japan vibes couldn‘t outweight that caution, and didn‘t provide that much fuel for S&P 500 either. It was though Bessent China remarks and especially Trump turnaround after the close, newly not thinking about firing Powell and being benevolent on China tariffs, that was responsible for the gap as the announcement was made inti the thinniest volume circumstances possible. Hence it worked so great as a pump.

TSLA earnings didn‘t stand a chance – very low quarterly revenue, free cash-flow likewise, but the game goes through robotaxis and Optimus flood statements – the stock is up, mirroring trade deal progress news and calm with the Fed optimism.

The other consequence that I warned Trading Signals clients about, was gold reversal to come soon, marking perhaps even >5% decline in a day – and gold did reverse to the downside, Treasuries firmed, and USD a bit rose as well – while Bitcoin followed on my bullish Saturday call, and made it to the $95K target after a few days.

Today‘s extensive video discusses the key cross-asset turns, diving into upcoming Bessent appearance regarding financial system, liquidity and Treasuries – my expectations incl. SPX expectations. USD isn‘t acting at all convincing, so all eyes on whether Bessent lays the ground for more intervention to shore up Treasuries.

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD gains ground near 1.3400 ahead of UK Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Pound Sterling holds ground ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter.

Gold refreshes record highs, eyes $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical tensions

Gold is closing in on $4,400 early Monday, renewing lifetime highs, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Week ahead: Key risks to watch in last days of 2025 and early 2026

The festive period officially starts next week, with many traders vacating their desks until the first full week of January, making way for thin trading volumes and very few top-tier releases.

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.