|

RBA misleads investors on Australian dollar

The Australian dollar has dropped sharply in today's Asian trading session on the back of disappointing data and throws into question yesterday's assessment of the local economy from the reserve bank of Australia.

At 3.34pm(AEDT) the Aussie dollar was trading at US75.76c down from US76.09c in yesterday's trading session.

GDP figures released from Australia hit the market earlier today at 0.6 percent against analysts' predictions for a figure of 0.7 percent and was well down from the previous quarters figure of 0.9 percent.

The yearly figure also missed consensus coming in at 0.9 percent against estimations for a figure of 3 percent.

Australian treasurer Mr Morrison brushed off the disappointing figures by noting that the Australian economy was on equal footing with the rest of the world and overall it was a good result

"The solid growth outcome in the September quarter national accounts has accelerated growth from 1.9 per cent to 2.8 per cent through the year," Mr Morrison said.

"This is above the OECD average and puts Australia back up towards the top of the pack for major advanced economies around the world." He added.

Investors were not as upbeat as Mr Morrison and sold the Aussie dollar off accordingly which may be attributed to expectations of a rate hike at the RBA's next board meeting in February has now gone.

The Australian dollar was rightly sold off as it seems the RBA was overly optimistic yesterday on the state of the Australian economy as they would have to overlook several factors in order to lift interest rates such as low inflation and as was already mentioned, underperforming GDP.

These factors should weigh on the Australian dollar and  we may see the currency come under further pressure as the year comes to a close.

Author

Andrew Masters

Andrew Masters

FIBO Group

More from Andrew Masters
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.