Politics, geopolitics cast shadow on economic data [Video]

Ipek Ozkardeskaya Swissquote Bank Ltd

US markets are holding near record highs, but the mood is anything but settled. While US inflation data came in largely as expected, easing some immediate pressure on the Fed, political noise is creeping back into the pricing of rates, bonds and currencies. Expectations for a March rate cut are fading, yields are staying elevated, and concerns over Fed independence are largely in focus.

Earnings season adds another layer of complexity. S&P 500 profits are still expected to grow by more than 8%, with big tech doing the heavy lifting. But with valuations stretched, strong headline numbers may no longer be enough. Investors are digging deeper, looking for discipline, sustainable growth and restraint — especially in the AI space, where overspending and leverage remain key risks.

Beyond the US, Asian equities are hitting fresh highs, trade tensions are simmering, and oil prices are reacting to fresh geopolitical disruptions. Plenty to unpack.

Author

Ipek Ozkardeskaya

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Ipek Ozkardeskaya began her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked in HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high-net-worth clients.

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