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November will be negative month for the global stock markets

November will be negative month for the global stock markets.

Since January 2017 this year we have not seen any negative month so far and as per my research it’s look November which is always historically buying month will be negative this year for the stock markets. As you can see, stocks are currently as overpriced as they were at the 1929 peak. Indeed, the only time stocks were MORE expensive was the Tech Bubble: the single largest stock market bubble in history.

Since 1988 it never happened that global markets have not seen any negative month till November and this is first time in history which in indeed very scaring.

If you will take the data of MSCI ACWI Indexes which captures large and mid-cap represent across 23 developed markets and 24 emerging markets countries, then it’s data shows the following outcome for 2017-

Jan +2.7%, Feb 0+2.6%, Mar 1.0%, April 1.4% May 1.9%, Jun 0.3%, Jul 2.7%, Aug 0.2%, Sep 1.8%, Oct 2.0% and I think november may be negative month for this year.  Since the market bottomed out in early 2009, the S&P 500 has been on a historic run. 

If this rally had been based on a booming economy that would be one thing, but the truth is that the U.S. economy has not seen 3 percent yearly growth since the middle of the Bush administration.  Instead, this insane bubble has been almost entirely fuelled by central bank manipulation, and as the economy begins to heat up, the central banks will likely lean against the economy by implementing a faster hiking cycle than currently projected, which will ultimately spark the next market Fall.

Watch guys, november will be good profit taking month for this market. Always trade and invest with proper risk management and discipline.

Good luck every one!!

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Dave Vivek

Dave Vivek

My Risk Mentor

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