|

NFP data to guide markets – Will the Dollar continue to weaken?

Important news for the day

  • Fri, 06th, 14:30 CET            CA        Unemployment change.
  • Fri, 06th, 14:30 CET            US        Non- Farm payrolls report.

NFP data

Today market participants will wait for the release of the NFP employment data. The US- Dollar is heading slightly lower ahead of the news event today but markets remain calm. In general also stocks seem to weaken again as they have lost steam so far this week. The ADP employment change was lower than expected, which could be of a preview for today whereas those numbers are not quite correlated. A weaker NFP figure might send the Dollar further to lower levels today.

Market talk

Precious metals have geared up steam and might break higher. Gold prices are nearing their all- time- highs and could cause a breakout anytime soon. Due to the negative economic sentiment also oil prices continue to run lower. Worth noting that also production increases by the OPEC might cause the trend to intensify. Crypto markets also seem to follow the current negative market sentiment, whereas the Dollar weakness does not act to support them.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities weak, USD weaker, cryptos weak, oil weak, metals positive, JPY stronger.

Author

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold struggles below $3,900 ahead of US PPI data

Gold  trims its gains on Friday after briefly climbing above $3,900. The metal fell to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. Hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have fueled bets on an extended period of monetary policy tightening, lifting the US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields and leaving the metal down more than 4% so far this week.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.